NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa0ddd05595002c283c633784f9fc9fa8c123a505525ca358643e75654acceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.06 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 44c | 1,362$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.1 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 1,194$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.51 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 1,116$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 525.17$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 464.32$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 442.66$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 57c | 353.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 34c | 208.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 195.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 186.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over | 56c | 177$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…5fdfbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 56c | 138.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 44c | 85.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 20c | 70.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Over | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 43c | 45.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 40.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -80%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 44c | 28.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…8e54backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 56c | 24.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. WildDevils won
- Devils vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.