TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Pelicans, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,463,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,466,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,463,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Pelicans23c296,493$68,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,674.713033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans0c142,587$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans23c100,676$23,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,226.7351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers77c71,690$55,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,488.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Cavaliers76c55,211$41,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,250.579263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers77c55,103$42,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,683.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pelicans25c53,713$13,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,334.4422453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers77c50,924$39,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,650.142,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers76c41,094$31,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,847.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pelicans25c40,041$9,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,92721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers77c31,634$24,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,151.6235651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Pelicans24c31,250$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers75c31,199$23,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,783.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers76c27,683$21,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,659.312,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pelicans22c25,576$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.8127424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans0c23,500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.55213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers77c21,123$16,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,858.2359653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Cavaliers78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Cavaliers77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60019351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Cavaliers78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans23c20,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50047028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Cavaliers78c18,606$14,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.3219560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Pelicans22c18,014$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9631822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Cavaliers76c15,050$11,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,61219048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers76c13,352$10,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.422,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans18c13,274$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.311,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers78c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.5134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Pelicans23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pelicans23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9818045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans24c9,717$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.4746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers77c9,404$7,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans14c9,328$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.3782442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers76c8,876$6,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.2144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cavaliers78c8,872$6,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.3930947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Pelicans11c8,374$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.2521923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Cavaliers77c7,870$6,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.1313063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Pelicans11c7,845$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.989026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers77c7,328$5,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.5292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans15c7,279$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Cavaliers76c7,273$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.525655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans17c7,000$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans23c6,063$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.371,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans22c6,050$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3511,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans23c6,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…4fb4backed Pelicans0c5,690$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182626.9%7 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Cavaliers77c5,638$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.5748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Cavaliers77c5,268$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.5313455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pelicans23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Cavaliers77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1509451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pelicans21c4,940$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7934227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Pelicans23c4,700$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08112843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Pelicans1c4,500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624c…0cc7backed Pelicans15c4,305$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.83737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pelicans22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9718142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers76c3,988$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.121,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Pelicans23c3,845$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.37946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cavaliers77c3,661$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers76c3,643$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.841,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Cavaliers77c3,568$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.6441652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans25c3,544$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.112,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers77c3,205$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Pelicans22c3,200$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70422637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pelicans22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Pelicans23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pelicans11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Cavaliers77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers76c2,907$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Pelicans23c2,586$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0221538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5751,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Cavaliers77c2,401$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2313148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Pelicans22c2,400$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52811244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pelicans25c2,319$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c2,225$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.248783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pelicans24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Pelicans17c2,006$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6644654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pelicans1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Pelicans10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccb…e141backed Pelicans3c1,867$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50180%0 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans24c1,833$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Cavaliers77c1,826$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.974961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans1c1,788$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Pelicans10c1,708$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1616750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Pelicans10c1,700$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17230619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Pelicans30c1,680$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50434855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed Cavaliers77c1,577$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.116053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d2…952ebacked Pelicans21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152040%8 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Cavaliers70c1,500$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0927758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Pelicans15c1,366$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019652.6%103 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Pelicans13c1,358$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.524617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Cavaliers77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.710351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers78c1,296$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Pelicans24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Cavaliers78c1,250$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28026751.7%138 W · 129 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.