NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470dde6f48d6c228ee788361d3e351965436692e9a6c40c6effdf9b1b28444d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 51c | 67,699$34,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,963.35 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 48c | 61,743$29,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,046.09 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 49c | 17,079$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,711.58 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 16,762$8,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,298.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 52c | 13,821$7,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,186.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed Pelicans | 50c | 11,315$5,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,657.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 10,750$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 48c | 10,050$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pelicans | 52c | 9,846$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.83 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 50c | 7,850$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,709$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.44 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,735$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,429$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans | 51c | 4,173$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.23 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,853$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,830$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.6 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,713$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.93 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,615$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.65 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,109$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.8 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,107$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.37 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 1,745$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Pelicans | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 36c | 1,403$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.38 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,356$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.06 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,256$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,074$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.43 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 49c | 897.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.96 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Pelicans | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 784.62$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 54c | 739.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…d253backed Pelicans | 51c | 678.43$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 50c | 638$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 50c | 446.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 50c | 422$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 49c | 408.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Pelicans | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…531bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pelicans | 50c | 318$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pelicans | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 9c | 297.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 50c | 283.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Pelicans | 51c | 270.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans | 50c | 262.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Cavaliers | 46c | 223.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Pelicans | 51c | 221$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 208.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Pelicans | 51c | 199.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…93bbbacked Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…faa6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Pelicans | 51c | 192.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers | 49c | 189.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 32c | 187.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 47c | 180.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 157.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…c60fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…a901backed Pelicans | 33c | 143.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cavaliers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pelicans | 52c | 127$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans | 52c | 122.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Pelicans | 41c | 114.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 49c | 104.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Pelicans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…d77abacked Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.