NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8344f962ab1ef37eb02c69a36a3267519afdf9648a06795e0f92723c1fe4658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 46c | 15,390$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.3 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 9,930$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 6,763$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.76 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,281$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,258$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.2 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,550$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.39 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,337$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.36 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,267$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cavaliers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 703.44$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 47c | 638.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 623.77$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.41 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans | 47c | 543.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Pelicans | 46c | 486.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pelicans | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 276$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Cavaliers | 53c | 236$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Pelicans | 47c | 231.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Pelicans | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pelicans | 47c | 208.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4320backed Pelicans | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Pelicans | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Pelicans | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Pelicans | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Pelicans | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Pelicans | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…fe4dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 71.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans | 39c | 66.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 45c | 62.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Pelicans | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Pelicans | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Cavaliers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Cavaliers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Cavaliers | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.