NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x850c41630d4d7896914e8ae58a210b8589ef7d34d509561c92e0ce4e2493eb16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 34,000$16,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,340 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 52c | 24,568$12,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,765.38 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 23,349$11,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.28 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Under | 53c | 21,138$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,111 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 20,560$10,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,485.51 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 14,152$7,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 12,345$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,438.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 5,255$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.63 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 47c | 4,410$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 3,502$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 3,099$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.61 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 2,019$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 960$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 902$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 563.18$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 48c | 356.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…d445backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 110.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 72.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 48c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 48c | 37.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Over | 48c | 35.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.