TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddf3…a901

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)backed Heart of Midlothian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Górnik Zabrze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.83
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)backed SK Iberia 1999 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)backed Shamrock Rovers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.48
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed PFK Levski Sofia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Spread: ETO FC (-1.5)backed KF Víkingur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)backed Lincoln Red Imps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.3
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$39.6
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.84
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$87.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$47.28
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$266.56
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$3
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.07
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.22
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+25%+$2.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$468.52
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$387.35
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$151.54
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$267.35
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)backed D.C. United SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)backed CF Montréal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed New York Red Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$142
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$237.9
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$191.42
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.2
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$161.27
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.07
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$33.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$88.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.