TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes14c17,191$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,864.498155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c13,516$10,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,202.141,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes42c9,462$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,534.713871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c4,183$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.8249840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes30c4,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.942152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No79c2,551$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.568741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c2,112$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.4666446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c2,071$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.0424340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c1,937$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.6636942.5%157 W · 212 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes41c1,809$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.387739%30 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c1,476$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.7561437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c1,447$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.852,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No64c1,324$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.355143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c1,320$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.5247246.8%221 W · 251 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c1,211$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5574935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c1,199$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.871,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.745944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No66c738.92$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.628959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1582…e47ebacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c680.6$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6216047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes28c641$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1414238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No71c613.06$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2712338.2%47 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c588.14$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.4645452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes73c390.44$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.226235.5%22 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No79c379.43$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.757236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x676e…28c5backed Yes27c352.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c334.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4710628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No68c324.29$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.72050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No67c321.21$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.654944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No58c312.57$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.293043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No76c311.91$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.751650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes5c299.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.995637.5%21 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No43c285.31$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No72c240$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.815550.3%78 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes51c237.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes49c237.11$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.91926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No65c200$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12922552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No41c195$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.95850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x611b…2367backed Yes19c191.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+311.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No73c186.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.658040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Yes36c185.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Yes41c185.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No69c179.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.195244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No71c179.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1396837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No57c176.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.717356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No70c175.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6131656.6%179 W · 137 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed No57c159.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Yes33c151.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes41c149.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes10c149.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.791978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes41c131.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.254037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes76c131.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976563.1%41 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes28c127.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.951850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes34c126.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.839750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes29c111.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2439442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Yes40c105.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.921637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c101.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9391032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes31c93.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.936947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No66c93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.392556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No66c92.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9114942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No59c92.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.793834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No17c91.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.592240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c89.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes32c88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No57c87.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.267342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No58c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.882650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No62c85.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No62c83.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.455257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed No63c73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes30c70.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.212528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.247364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes31c68.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.324452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No69c67.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7427236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed No69c67.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.682343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No67c66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.223366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No65c63.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.421070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No69c62.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6639849.2%196 W · 202 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No56c59.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5914736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No68c56.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0352246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes31c56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.649747.4%46 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed No54c52.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.593125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes28c51.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c47.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6967649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c46.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c40.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes67c37.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf3…a901backed Yes31c35.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3633backed No64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed No69c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.192540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ac2…4fd8backed No63c28.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No67c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.762339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+98.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No38c27.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43050%15 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes67c27.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.943467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No66c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.529748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No76c21.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.477762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.