Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c188bf120161b9d458f1822eafb3f40fe89e2dcfebb6842c7236460802f9247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 4,451$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.9 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 2,981$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.08 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,719$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.43 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,551$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.44 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 1,324$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.2 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,291$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.79 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 74c | 812.8$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 802.19$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.77 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 5c | 739.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 705.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 70c | 512$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 465.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.59 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 15c | 400$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 348.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 346.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 332$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 39c | 324.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 69c | 314.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 41c | 313.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 265.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 264.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 37c | 241.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 61c | 199.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 179.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 58c | 173.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 75c | 134.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 127.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 57c | 115.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 101.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 99.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Yes | 22c | 96.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 85.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 59c | 76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 29c | 74.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 28c | 67.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 67.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 74c | 63.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4262backed No | 63c | 59.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 58.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 34c | 54.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 50.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +12.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 33c | 49.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 22c | 47.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 73c | 44.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 70c | 41.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 37.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 73c | 37.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 36.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 44c | 36.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 60c | 33.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 72c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 48c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 70c | 26.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 46c | 25.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -14.8wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.9%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 23.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 71c | 22.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 70c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…6ccabacked Yes | 78c | 18.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 70c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 73c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.