TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SK Puntigamer Sturm Grazof SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, Heart of Midlothian FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c78…77f1backed Heart of Midlothian FC70c59,417$41,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,592.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c28,323$8,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,826.741,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c17,033$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,923.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.942152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heart of Midlothian FC66c2,967$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.642,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz40c2,191$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.8274935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9134445.1%155 W · 189 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz31c1,925$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.17364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c1,713$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.983447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Heart of Midlothian FC2c1,490$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1843537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c1,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.3132847.9%157 W · 171 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c1,167$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.665558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ce…df44backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz29c954.6$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c887$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.96541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c874.13$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.899947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC70c642.86$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c436.67$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c363.49$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2852246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c319.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4610145.5%46 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz31c299.97$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+72.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Heart of Midlothian FC58c271.8$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.644827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c267.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0496837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Heart of Midlothian FC70c230$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5124752.2%129 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz29c224.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1345452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz29c199.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz29c199.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.985646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heart of Midlothian FC7c174.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8726931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Heart of Midlothian FC71c151.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3816035.6%57 W · 103 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Heart of Midlothian FC71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c136.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3622245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c122.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.687762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Heart of Midlothian FC70c86.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.685257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c81.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.379946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Heart of Midlothian FC69c74.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2639442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Heart of Midlothian FC56c69.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.975042%21 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Heart of Midlothian FC68c67.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.326357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c59.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9391032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Heart of Midlothian FC70c57.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.064738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz57c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+61.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe98…85b1backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+168.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz30c46.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz47c40.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4321643.5%94 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Heart of Midlothian FC71c26.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6829746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz42c25.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5117451.7%90 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Heart of Midlothian FC68c21.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8414065.7%92 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Heart of Midlothian FC71c19.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.018053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Heart of Midlothian FC70c17.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.87363%46 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf3…a901backed Heart of Midlothian FC73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.