Champions League · resolved market
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0335dab3cfb0d0d9320e39593e4b39ef0d56138d5ad75b252dc25cb9919bc4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,249$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 567.44$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 43c | 499.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 61c | 489.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.26 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 481.16$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 6c | 416.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 392.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 40c | 363.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 301.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 267.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 262.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 243.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 42c | 210.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Yes | 35c | 202.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 41c | 199.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 57c | 184.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 167.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 117.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 25c | 112.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Yes | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 81.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 40c | 80.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 41c | 59.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 46c | 54.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…16a1backed Yes | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaefc…f599backed Yes | 61c | 49.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 48.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 36c | 46.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…8823backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 42c | 34.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 34.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 54c | 21.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…85c8backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.