TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over57c16,724$9,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,191.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c8,522$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.441,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under26c5,412$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c4,284$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.341,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under3c3,200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,142$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42446.8%3 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c2,526$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.4587531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.852948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,597$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7141553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c1,513$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9770435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4303351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c984.01$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1331047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed Over56c770$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under46c641.73$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.28742.5%37 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over61c635$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.931681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.8wins+0.36per pick45cpaid+131.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over60c635$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+96.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c520.5$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.029947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under49c510.79$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.841752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over57c336.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under44c320.68$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over66c312.04$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.554827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over56c306.18$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.181553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under18c274$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3241238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under44c226.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.881776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over67c224.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.272552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over59c220.87$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.646437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c212.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2231342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under43c207.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.14143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over75c201.37$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4811952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8536742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c191.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2628651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under22c188.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.472254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c186.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8260648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c171.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8159136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under41c162.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.417236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c150.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2388137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over57c149.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.129549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over62c147.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0817348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under45c143.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.376744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under44c128.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0723352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c128.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.851258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over70c127$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.14355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under18c110.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.314255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Under28c108$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449743.3%42 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bfa…93aabacked Over53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over56c94.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0452046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over56c83.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7221354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under43c83.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.879946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under43c81.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.874738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over67c79.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.427163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c75.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7820832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.16752.2%35 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over60c62.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.886168.9%42 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over61c62.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.227660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.167345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over73c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.746160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over61c61.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.685961%36 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over62c58.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.318067.5%54 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked Over66c56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c55.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+110.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over61c52.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.516741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed Over59c50.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7516350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Over75c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under43c48.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.076357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb3…9858backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0910963.3%69 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over73c32.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3215753.5%84 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over57c26.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.754355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over67c21.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.073043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b6…80adbacked Over74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…85c8backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Over75c19.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b22…d377backed Over78c16.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.