Champions League · resolved market
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0b0d5c805003094f31cff9028218072e614304cda8f3f6029b6005103dca4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 2,616$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.82 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 46c | 1,976$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.6 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,826$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 1,743$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.15 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 52c | 1,516$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 79c | 1,476$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.65 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 43c | 1,397$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 38c | 1,232$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 21c | 1,087$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 51c | 1,048$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 58c | 1,012$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 17c | 641.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 3c | 635.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 574.51$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 75c | 399.81$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 399.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.91 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 312.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 33c | 299.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 67c | 298.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 35c | 284.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 74c | 268.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 236.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 199.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 27c | 188.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 68c | 182.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 73c | 136.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 75c | 132.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 47c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 51c | 79.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 30c | 71.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 55c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 40c | 69.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked Under | 61c | 68.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 49c | 50.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 77c | 43.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Over | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Under | 48c | 39.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 38c | 36.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…b35ebacked Under | 62c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 56c | 30.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…db2bbacked Over | 73c | 20.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 79c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.