TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,721$37 inLost-$37.21446.8%3 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under8c2,335$187 inLost-$186.817053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over80c2,121$1,697 inWon+$424.171681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c1,512$253 inLost-$252.841,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under20c1,509$302 inLost-$302.4444647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Over80c1,177$942 inWon+$235.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under2c550.5$11 inLost-$10.6223031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under11c437.18$49 inLost-$49.2842438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under20c366$73 inLost-$73.252046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under20c333.8$68 inLost-$67.5429949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under11c247.85$28 inLost-$27.524744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under20c173$35 inLost-$34.614454.9%79 W · 65 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under13c131.4$17 inLost-$17.321,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon+$26.58580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over80c125$100 inWon+$2511464.9%74 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under20c116.22$24 inLost-$23.7322245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under20c99.99$20 inLost-$2038142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over80c76.86$61 inWon+$15.3788631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over79c50$40 inWon+$10.52462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.