TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6b6…80ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$8.51
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$62.59
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$6.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$11.47
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$15.56
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+55%+$26.65
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$14.84
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$10.5
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$20.85
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.79
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$13.62
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39.1%+$7.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)backed Vålerenga Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.