TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx63c7,587$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7951,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax48c3,906$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.661,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Syntax59c2,313$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.9210351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Lynx6c1,818$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1165625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax63c1,683$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.4279159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax35c1,674$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.994442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Team Syntax41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76715050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Syntax58c1,187$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx20c1,153$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.561,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Team Lynx1c1,100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163959%23 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx49c1,011$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Syntax40c986.64$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9547953.9%258 W · 221 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax59c805.47$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7887838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Team Syntax72c802.49$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx4c750$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Syntax28c700$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50143538.6%168 W · 267 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed Team Lynx57c699.99$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.999455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax52c681.48$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6910961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x872d…afcebacked Team Lynx37c620.18$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Team Lynx37c574.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7513142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx39c574.98$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.741,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team Syntax46c552.47$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3625948.3%125 W · 134 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx53c551.73$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1296645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx50c545.63$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4747457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Syntax53c544.39$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.468850%44 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Team Syntax47c531.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.067055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Team Syntax44c530.48$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.211650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx55c507.97$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.562,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Syntax41c506.75$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8215650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Syntax76c484.95$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3441953.7%225 W · 194 L+16.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax37c450$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28569552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Syntax65c424.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0427345.8%125 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Lynx42c325.96$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9618446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Team Syntax58c320.92$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3619358.5%113 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Team Syntax36c310.75$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0319053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Team Syntax37c309$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.518046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Team Lynx45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510349.5%51 W · 52 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Team Lynx63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1895961%36 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Team Syntax61c296.42$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.446622.7%15 W · 51 L-14.5wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-64.9%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Syntax59c278.81$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.718961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Team Syntax54c277.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.235352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Team Syntax71c227.14$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.632259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx43c226.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.171,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Team Lynx54c225.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.374362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx59c225.25$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.791,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8d…2adbbacked Team Lynx25c223.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Lynx37c220$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.631052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax60c219.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4788938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx72c219.26$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9692846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Lynx76c214.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Team Syntax69c212.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7117229.7%51 W · 121 L-17.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Syntax41c201$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6558742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Team Syntax63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.450247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Syntax43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11441246.8%193 W · 219 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Team Syntax61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788052.5%42 W · 38 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Team Syntax64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax40c189.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1461249.7%304 W · 308 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Syntax64c184.09$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2714542.1%61 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Syntax41c176$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3958346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Syntax42c173$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.243649.1%214 W · 222 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Lynx50c171.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7724542.4%104 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Syntax55c171.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8852638.4%202 W · 324 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d96…3d50backed Team Syntax76c170.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Team Lynx56c170.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx36c169.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed Team Lynx59c167.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.582250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Syntax80c166$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.249732.2%160 W · 337 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Syntax71c164.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7216055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Lynx55c154.53$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9915957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…c1fbbacked Team Syntax70c150.87$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.184772.3%34 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Syntax71c139.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3617965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Lynx77c135.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10519547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Lynx20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7520421.1%43 W · 161 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Team Syntax61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.79347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Syntax65c126$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.19848%47 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Team Lynx56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Team Syntax65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212446.8%58 W · 66 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Syntax42c116.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8229432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Team Syntax42c114.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.919249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Syntax39c102.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6714555.9%81 W · 64 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx42c100.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.111,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed Team Syntax60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403083.3%25 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Lynx65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6533165.3%216 W · 115 L+23.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Lynx56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5659154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team Syntax40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036452.5%191 W · 173 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Team Lynx55c92.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.743625%9 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Team Syntax43c87.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.186949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Syntax42c83.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5656545%254 W · 311 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Team Lynx64c81.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6127259.2%161 W · 111 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Team Syntax49c81.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2f…318bbacked Team Syntax61c80.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.332755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Syntax40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3565447.4%310 W · 344 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx32c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.131,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Team Syntax70c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.817952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Team Syntax63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Syntax61c69.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.287653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx46c69.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.180244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Team Syntax77c66.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1412065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Lynx61c63.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9422462.1%139 W · 85 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Syntax65c62.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8248843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.