TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Team Syntax, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax35c7,375$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.141,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx66c2,729$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.91,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx64c1,538$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7148057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx67c1,530$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.592,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx54c919.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.148054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Team Syntax27c835.12$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.156033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx66c826.94$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.061,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Team Lynx68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25615050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Syntax32c763.11$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.910551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Team Lynx74c541.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.324568.9%31 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx55c409.26$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1889238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax48c392.63$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4679859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Team Syntax26c326.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3814646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx56c300.01$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.141,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Team Lynx45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510349.5%51 W · 52 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Lynx55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Team Lynx70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx66c249.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.951,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx73c240.47$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.341,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Lynx41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1187753.2%41 W · 36 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Team Lynx41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Team Lynx41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11812048.3%58 W · 62 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Team Lynx41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.213044.6%58 W · 72 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx69c168.11$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Team Lynx60c165.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4318152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Syntax25c162.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Lynx57c149.11$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1215957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Lynx41c143.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.829848%47 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…f884backed Team Syntax60c136.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.998960.7%54 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Team Lynx41c133$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4711444.7%51 W · 63 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Team Syntax55c126.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1819053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Syntax53c123.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.198961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Team Syntax33c109.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Syntax39c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4729432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax31c104$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0289938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Syntax24c101$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0625143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Syntax13c100.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Lynx59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4159254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3f…e1e1backed Team Lynx50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed Team Lynx50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Lynx75c97.63$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4117965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Syntax30c96.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9341632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Team Lynx62c93.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2319249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx65c88.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Team Lynx69c87.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.753956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Team Syntax30c75.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1117330.1%52 W · 121 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx61c74.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2544049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Team Lynx61c73.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.625358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Lynx47c72.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4830146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fa…e334backed Team Syntax21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Lynx55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.222562.2%140 W · 85 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Team Lynx45c68.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Team Lynx44c66.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3238547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax45c65.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5215551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Lynx42c61.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5468345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Team Lynx51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.826965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Team Syntax35c57.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Team Lynx45c55.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.394032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Syntax33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.138048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx62c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9356945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Team Syntax33c51.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.253286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx66c49.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed Team Lynx63c46.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx59c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2353538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Syntax58c43.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.098850%44 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Syntax74c42.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7114655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx75c42.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.911,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Team Syntax74c41.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311030%3 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick67cpaid-57.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax29c40.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7869835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Team Lynx55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Syntax45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team Syntax54c38.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8626147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ec…2bf9backed Team Lynx62c38.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Lynx69c36.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3227636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax36c34.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5181345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Lynx50c34.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2148053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx65c32.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3442639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Syntax34c32.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Team Syntax32c32.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Lynx74c31.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.246664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Team Lynx70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Lynx77c28.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5628650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Team Lynx71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…8c41backed Team Lynx43c26.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+235.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Syntax58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.566947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Team Lynx65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.086377.8%49 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.658746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Team Lynx70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4315150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx67c20.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.842,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Team Lynx68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Lynx65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9552950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a51…4ef6backed Team Lynx72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.151546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Team Lynx69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.612353.7%66 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.