NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393beb48ce5694c1fcc301a98a0888064f0d2d7393a724f0db8043c9c55956d0

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Nuggets, Lakers
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $224,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,854 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers	52c	137,510$71,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,004.88	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers	52c	20,825$10,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,038.72	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets	48c	17,768$8,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,501.55	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Nuggets	48c	16,752$8,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,040.96	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Nuggets	48c	16,667$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets	48c	16,056$7,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,707	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a1…cedebacked Nuggets	48c	13,571$6,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,514.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets	48c	13,333$6,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,400	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Nuggets	48c	12,477$5,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,980.86	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f4…a7fdbacked Nuggets	48c	9,529$4,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,574	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1c…4694backed Nuggets	48c	8,125$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Lakers	54c	7,354$3,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,382.71	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6efe…191ebacked Nuggets	48c	7,298$3,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,503.12	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Nuggets	44c	6,384$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.97	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers	56c	5,901$3,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.46	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	48c	5,657$2,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,738.5	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Nuggets	46c	5,245$2,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,412.7	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets	47c	4,273$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.16	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets	48c	3,955$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,898.43	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Nuggets	48c	3,948$1,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers	56c	3,576$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.97	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…8715backed Nuggets	48c	2,972$1,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4246backed Nuggets	48c	2,894$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9653…bcfdbacked Lakers	52c	2,831$1,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	52cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x836a…c634backed Lakers	52c	2,797$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40c0…23dfbacked Nuggets	48c	2,756$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb7…db88backed Lakers	52c	2,746$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Nuggets	48c	2,708$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa30c…65efbacked Lakers	52c	2,689$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x670a…0fd7backed Lakers	52c	2,651$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	52cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets	48c	2,547$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.4	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…158bbacked Nuggets	48c	2,525$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d5…8a17backed Nuggets	48c	2,514$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64da…d490backed Nuggets	48c	2,503$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Nuggets	48c	2,464$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.86	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2621…2633backed Lakers	52c	2,450$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,176	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers	52c	2,375$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.9	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Nuggets	48c	2,233$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Nuggets	48c	2,192$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Nuggets	48c	2,039$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.6	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Lakers	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	46c	1,865$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.01	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Nuggets	47c	1,707$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.55	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets	46c	1,598$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.47	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Nuggets	48c	1,481$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.79	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Nuggets	48c	1,461$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.11	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Lakers	55c	1,092$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.81	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Nuggets	46c	1,049$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.71	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers	55c	1,035$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.93	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Nuggets	48c	895.83$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…8d20backed Nuggets	50c	872.46$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.51	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Lakers	53c	788$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.36	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Lakers	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Lakers	53c	552.4$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.18	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets	44c	520.27$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.42	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Nuggets	43c	511.61$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Lakers	53c	456.6$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.6	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers	64c	445.99$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.82	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Lakers	58c	431.17$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.17	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Nuggets	46c	306$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.76	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Lakers	52c	245.29$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.74	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Nuggets	48c	229.59$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.2	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Lakers	55c	227.27$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.27	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Lakers	56c	222.37$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.84	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Nuggets	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	42.9%78 W · 104 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Nuggets	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets	40c	210.39$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.46	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Nuggets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Lakers	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.61	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Nuggets	46c	193.48$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Lakers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Lakers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Lakers	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…ce71backed Lakers	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Lakers	57c	175.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.43	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Lakers	57c	175.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.43	138	64.5%89 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Nuggets	46c	153$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.38	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Lakers	57c	152$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.36	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Nuggets	48c	139.52$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.97	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets	42c	133.71$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.16	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers	51c	120.86$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.22	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Lakers	53c	120$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Lakers	51c	119.61$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.15	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Nuggets	48c	112.35$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.93	221	54.8%121 W · 100 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Nuggets	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Nuggets	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Lakers	57c	98.25$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.25	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Lakers	57c	96.84$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.68	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Lakers	57c	96.49$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.49	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets	48c	96.06$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers	51c	90.31$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.25	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers	52c	90$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Lakers	53c	84.09$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Lakers	53c	81.65$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.02	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Nuggets	57c	80$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Nuggets	45c	77.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Nuggets	44c	77.27$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. LakersLakers won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5Over won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event