TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,003 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c40,025$20,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,412.481,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c17,767$8,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,044.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c12,079$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,164.31,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c9,492$4,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,863.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c3,080$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…0ab2backed Under51c2,971$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c07…cb48backed Over49c2,963$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd534…a166backed Over49c2,957$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1e…8a92backed Under51c2,943$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1281…5259backed Under51c2,936$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…a635backed Over49c2,892$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a6…79e8backed Under51c2,871$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…0305backed Over49c2,865$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd0…8f68backed Over49c2,864$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea0…d377backed Over49c2,849$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7bcfbacked Under51c2,833$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d3e7backed Under51c2,824$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef9c…55c5backed Under51c2,819$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…9ba1backed Under51c2,815$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc84c…e97dbacked Under51c2,814$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0263…47e6backed Over49c2,781$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0953…dbdabacked Over49c2,774$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa96a…2961backed Under51c2,759$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d4…6aeabacked Over49c2,738$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7012…6c6fbacked Under51c2,706$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee2…1db3backed Over49c2,648$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c13…cd35backed Over49c2,637$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddc…3077backed Under51c2,628$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d29…c9babacked Over49c2,626$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4da…658ebacked Over49c2,615$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b06…10c2backed Over49c2,604$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08da…4d16backed Under51c2,594$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b4…7d11backed Over49c2,593$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e9…63d5backed Over49c2,582$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda1b…033ebacked Under51c2,576$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…95f5backed Over49c2,571$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x777a…1f85backed Over49c2,569$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578e…d99fbacked Under51c2,547$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ab…c544backed Under51c2,528$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc7…03a6backed Under51c2,493$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e6…5e0ebacked Under51c2,471$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c2,323$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.862,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c2,204$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c1,576$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under53c1,154$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.7833554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under51c784.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c591.66$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c495.35$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c486.54$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa950…d92ebacked Under52c384$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.681338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under50c361.62$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over51c297$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5310448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c242.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over15c239$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over52c227.51$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c219.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c207.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over49c197.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c146$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c132.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.341,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under49c121.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3920350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c117.34$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c112.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under51c107.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8523047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over49c107.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over41c99.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.281,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c85.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6674…79f7backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over50c76.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over16c68.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under79c68.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over47c67.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.722140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Over49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.664042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over49c50.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c50.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over49c50.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7143544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Under65c42.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under51c34.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6219054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Under66c30.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c29.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.032,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ce…d766backed Under53c26.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c24.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over49c24.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3830845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Over49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8db6…396cbacked Under66c15.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.