NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb7fd95d880bd35bbf9215ee364e65a9e5fdb9eaa579c26fd4cdc25e48066d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 40,025$20,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,412.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 17,767$8,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,044.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 12,079$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.3 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,492$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 3,080$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…0ab2backed Under | 51c | 2,971$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…cb48backed Over | 49c | 2,963$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd534…a166backed Over | 49c | 2,957$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…8a92backed Under | 51c | 2,943$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…5259backed Under | 51c | 2,936$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a635backed Over | 49c | 2,892$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…79e8backed Under | 51c | 2,871$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…0305backed Over | 49c | 2,865$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…8f68backed Over | 49c | 2,864$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…d377backed Over | 49c | 2,849$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7bcfbacked Under | 51c | 2,833$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d3e7backed Under | 51c | 2,824$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…55c5backed Under | 51c | 2,819$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…9ba1backed Under | 51c | 2,815$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…e97dbacked Under | 51c | 2,814$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…47e6backed Over | 49c | 2,781$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…dbdabacked Over | 49c | 2,774$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…2961backed Under | 51c | 2,759$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…6aeabacked Over | 49c | 2,738$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…6c6fbacked Under | 51c | 2,706$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…1db3backed Over | 49c | 2,648$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…cd35backed Over | 49c | 2,637$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddc…3077backed Under | 51c | 2,628$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…c9babacked Over | 49c | 2,626$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…658ebacked Over | 49c | 2,615$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…10c2backed Over | 49c | 2,604$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08da…4d16backed Under | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…7d11backed Over | 49c | 2,593$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…63d5backed Over | 49c | 2,582$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…033ebacked Under | 51c | 2,576$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…95f5backed Over | 49c | 2,571$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777a…1f85backed Over | 49c | 2,569$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…d99fbacked Under | 51c | 2,547$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…c544backed Under | 51c | 2,528$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…03a6backed Under | 51c | 2,493$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e6…5e0ebacked Under | 51c | 2,471$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 2,323$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 2,204$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 1,576$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 53c | 1,154$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.78 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 51c | 784.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 591.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 495.35$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 486.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…d92ebacked Under | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 50c | 361.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 51c | 297$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 242.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 239$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 227.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 219.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 207.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 49c | 197.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 132.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 49c | 121.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 117.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 112.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 51c | 107.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 49c | 107.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 99.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 85.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…79f7backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 50c | 76.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 16c | 68.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Under | 79c | 68.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 47c | 67.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 50.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 49c | 50.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 65c | 42.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 51c | 34.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Under | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Under | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 49c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…396cbacked Under | 66c | 15.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. LakersLakers won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.