TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,524 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c1,415$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over40c1,252$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.68826.1%23 W · 65 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,184$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over44c999.73$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.5440344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c940.37$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c898$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.062,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under79c738.33$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5fc…adbabacked Under41c726.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over20c703.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5722140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c669.51$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over59c455.93$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9323550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa950…d92ebacked Over56c454$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c453.16$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.981,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over59c450.85$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under6c403.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0730224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Over58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16833360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under59c364.03$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.351,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…3953backed Over70c359.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over57c351$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.931,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6a…089bbacked Over58c309.67$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c292.6$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under42c287$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over33c238.51$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c229.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.862,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c217.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over38c212.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.051,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under62c181.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over50c157$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over26c152.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c151.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.961,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c148.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over68c148.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.147857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under70c143.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over52c133.51$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0816338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under44c123$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.122,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Over30c120.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.146132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c113.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over50c110.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over29c107.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Under40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c101.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.071,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Under55c98.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547753.2%41 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1297…015fbacked Over43c91.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c89.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4255444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under61c86.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.761,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Under42c79.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…3e44backed Under42c79.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9317…6e69backed Under42c76.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.932626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x533c…eb85backed Under42c75.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over18c72.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7520837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over42c69.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7913953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…651fbacked Under79c69.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Under44c68.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c63.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c60.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.053,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9985…dad8backed Under44c57.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994526.7%12 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under45c54.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6824841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c48.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Over37c45.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.025259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Over59c45.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.765650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over57c44.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under43c42.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Over37c40.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c36.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.295,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c35.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over56c32.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over46c30.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5511354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.914931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c29.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed Over50c28.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c27.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over43c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8418440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over58c24.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.475558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf55…92a2backed Over59c24.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Under62c22.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1418150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over50c20.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1110951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.248255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under63c16.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2416369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.