NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5abd21199dd682f5a4998b9d58ca552e3d072e37383d3e6a31c81cebea54a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Nuggets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,216 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 72,816$37,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,948.94 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 48c | 72,493$34,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,696.52 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Nuggets | 55c | 48,800$26,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,840 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 18,201$10,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,187.15 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 45c | 17,807$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.17 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers | 49c | 17,364$8,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,855.83 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 13,999$7,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,464.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 51c | 10,867$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…6ee3backed Lakers | 45c | 8,014$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 45c | 7,443$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…56afbacked Lakers | 45c | 6,585$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…a912backed Lakers | 45c | 6,247$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…edb8backed Nuggets | 55c | 6,180$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…b43ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 5,950$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,695$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.08 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…52f5backed Lakers | 45c | 5,502$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…cb55backed Nuggets | 55c | 5,171$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…9e23backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,885$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…dbc0backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,445$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…ce60backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,405$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…eb3cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,281$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,235$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…8eeebacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,106$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…b76bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,917$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…858cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,760$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…2f41backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,699$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…61d2backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,578$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1503…4440backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,547$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…4b8cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,532$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…e78bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,479$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…468bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,413$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…9212backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,402$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…4fe5backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,307$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f3…3aecbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,212$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,184$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…8b05backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,131$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…7a41backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,929$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…0296backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,691$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ebd4backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,557$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…d294backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,539$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 46c | 2,400$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb3…157bbacked Lakers | 45c | 2,315$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…d647backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,225$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…94e9backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,224$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…7995backed Lakers | 45c | 2,052$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,954$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.68 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…2044backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,916$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…9b5dbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,892$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…3b51backed Lakers | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…dfdbbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,875$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…9d07backed Lakers | 45c | 1,865$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…752bbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,844$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…4728backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,834$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…64c1backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,828$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,786$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.45 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…8b32backed Lakers | 45c | 1,760$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…b694backed Lakers | 45c | 1,751$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…38d2backed Lakers | 45c | 1,728$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…d718backed Lakers | 45c | 1,682$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…deb9backed Lakers | 45c | 1,654$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,638$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1731…bdb0backed Lakers | 45c | 1,634$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff35…34e6backed Lakers | 45c | 1,614$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…fdcabacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,599$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…1a5cbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,589$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…c5eabacked Lakers | 45c | 1,589$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…623bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,583$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…436bbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,543$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…6daabacked Lakers | 45c | 1,539$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1148backed Lakers | 45c | 1,475$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,468$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…1cdabacked Lakers | 45c | 1,467$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…55c3backed Lakers | 45c | 1,282$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…32bcbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,281$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…2bedbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,278$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…d108backed Lakers | 45c | 1,251$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…5f39backed Lakers | 45c | 1,246$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…6f37backed Lakers | 45c | 1,168$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…3231backed Lakers | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d7…9592backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,149$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…54c0backed Lakers | 45c | 1,147$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…1aadbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,127$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…6c28backed Lakers | 45c | 1,122$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…2f9abacked Lakers | 45c | 1,119$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…88bbbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,098$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…b079backed Lakers | 45c | 1,094$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…dac2backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,086$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…a8acbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…1380backed Lakers | 45c | 1,045$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 55c | 1,040$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…1aa5backed Lakers | 45c | 1,033$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…818abacked Lakers | 45c | 1,007$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…81c7backed Lakers | 45c | 998$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 59c | 991.94$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…1209backed Lakers | 45c | 986$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…8deabacked Lakers | 45c | 983$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…00edbacked Lakers | 45c | 981$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…d7ddbacked Lakers | 45c | 972$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…2443backed Lakers | 45c | 962$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. LakersLakers won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.