NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab0b6380b4177ddc847d4b23de9bad8a97e7468a93ebd3dbf64280e3750c9ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Nuggets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e6b…d96dbacked Lakers | 51c | 52,607$26,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,777.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 50c | 45,670$22,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,773.74 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 49c | 40,494$19,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,841.85 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 48c | 28,129$13,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,627.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 51c | 28,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Nuggets | 49c | 19,795$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.44 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 19,092$9,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,336.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 48c | 18,484$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,524.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 14,223$7,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,396 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…7755backed Nuggets | 52c | 13,463$7,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Nuggets | 52c | 13,192$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.89 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Lakers | 50c | 11,436$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.84 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Nuggets | 50c | 9,937$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.48 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 6,289$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers | 52c | 5,709$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.53 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 49c | 4,388$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.76 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…2213backed Lakers | 49c | 4,236$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,840$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Lakers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,636$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,227$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,799$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.4 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,747$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.3 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,736$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.67 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,616$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,448$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,173$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.96 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a7…b600backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,911$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,884$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…9e59backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,801$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,634$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.8 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 52c | 1,365$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,178$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,170$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 52c | 961.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Nuggets | 52c | 825.44$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.49 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 52c | 796.59$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Lakers | 49c | 796$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 50c | 648.04$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.47 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 52c | 637.6$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.05 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Lakers | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Lakers | 51c | 607.84$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 50c | 564.25$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…f76bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 524$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 511.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Nuggets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 55c | 488.02$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nuggets | 48c | 479.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 46c | 458.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 383.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 363.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Nuggets | 52c | 323.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Lakers | 51c | 302.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 49c | 297.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 274$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Nuggets | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 47c | 245.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 48c | 231.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 227.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Nuggets | 52c | 218$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lakers | 48c | 215.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 49c | 210.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Nuggets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 48c | 196.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 188.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Lakers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Lakers | 47c | 150.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Lakers | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 54c | 148.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 46c | 145.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Nuggets | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…c229backed Nuggets | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Nuggets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Lakers | 49c | 118.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Lakers | 49c | 112.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 110.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…04a8backed Lakers | 51c | 107.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Nuggets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. LakersLakers won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.