TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Hornets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,223 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings45c40,950$18,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,529.9828649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Hornets55c22,602$12,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,431.3623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Kings48c19,206$9,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,987.1130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets52c12,600$6,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,551.91,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets55c11,160$6,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,129.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Hornets52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.5332540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Hornets54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.898153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings46c9,599$4,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,198.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Kings45c8,850$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.524942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets55c6,053$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Kings45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9920355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Hornets52c4,277$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Kings48c3,889$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x993b…bfd7backed Kings49c3,788$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef5…c608backed Kings49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…fe92backed Hornets51c3,233$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Hornets55c3,185$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7525046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4de…7f70backed Hornets51c3,163$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Hornets55c3,123$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71612454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea5…713fbacked Hornets51c2,801$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d01…2618backed Kings49c2,653$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings53c2,584$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.272,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hornets54c2,472$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.0948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Kings48c2,422$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Kings46c2,358$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.9123348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…87f7backed Hornets51c2,344$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d0…73a1backed Hornets51c2,322$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kings49c2,232$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.0734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Kings46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.025030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d38…fd9ebacked Kings49c2,133$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0387…e1b4backed Hornets51c2,121$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f3…3fa3backed Kings49c2,088$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed Hornets52c2,034$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.571030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets48c2,010$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Hornets55c2,010$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1135147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings47c1,946$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Hornets55c1,900$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05314245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2a…85efbacked Kings49c1,899$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hornets53c1,881$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.0416844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings56c1,828$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.673,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9d…c92dbacked Hornets51c1,822$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb854…644fbacked Kings49c1,811$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa1a…c00fbacked Kings49c1,805$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5a…b5b9backed Kings49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af5…9522backed Hornets51c1,688$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7095…0b38backed Hornets51c1,655$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…639cbacked Hornets51c1,639$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings47c1,620$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.043,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…e991backed Hornets51c1,588$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd4e…83b8backed Kings49c1,500$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets57c1,474$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.182,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…4ca1backed Kings49c1,422$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Hornets51c1,390$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.0924151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa062…6f69backed Hornets51c1,211$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8640…a16abacked Kings49c1,188$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets47c1,024$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Hornets62c963.89$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb146…e717backed Hornets59c958.68$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets55c895$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.136449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets55c881$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…9fd4backed Hornets51c840$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.41816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2cde…8039backed Kings49c839$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets54c806.84$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets45c752.2$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Kings44c673.37$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1717144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Kings46c584$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3145151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Kings73c409.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.663647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Hornets5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hornets55c399.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings46c379$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Kings45c377.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.786137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Hornets55c372.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2058043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Hornets53c370.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2127251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hornets58c365.94$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.251,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Kings69c359.88$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.523745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Hornets56c342.21$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Kings49c327.2$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.252146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets50c319.47$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Kings46c309.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Kings42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17435444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9221139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hornets56c274.55$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.931,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings57c267.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.611,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Hornets53c251.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kings43c245.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Kings54c244$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kings60c218.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kings45c217$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Kings49c204.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4143447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Hornets46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1912536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9882440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Hornets47c199.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0313843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hornets42c198.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.562,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.