TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,250 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over47c112,889$53,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,613.3887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c79,899$41,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,093.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over47c18,800$8,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,834.241,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under53c13,111$6,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,162.1625753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over46c11,826$5,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,385.343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c11,186$5,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,239.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c9,864$5,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,678.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under53c8,014$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c5,133$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c4,517$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under54c4,490$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.0923348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c3,100$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.148054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c3,004$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c2,625$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.351,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c2,160$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.111,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9508747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…a5e7backed Under52c1,722$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c1,670$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…7c76backed Over48c1,518$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…1e0ebacked Over48c1,511$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Under55c1,489$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.149352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d32…5b60backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e0…98cbbacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9045…d59cbacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33b…5a59backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2424…834abacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9b…a6e3backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf82f…8a6cbacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5395…b580backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc395…e3dcbacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5420…1056backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9b…acf6backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8259…fa1ebacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd3…b2f8backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a7…451abacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa5…94edbacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84c…f34dbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc3…01b9backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16aa…530dbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc5…c963backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…ea01backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f64…108fbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f0…c929backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c70…e2e7backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9283…340abacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c2…af4ebacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad4…6292backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e85…9b3cbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd160…67bebacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…1a25backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…eae6backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…db55backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…4711backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3f…78a3backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe415…a571backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15b5…f4f1backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4651…629fbacked Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c97…09c7backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ce…0c60backed Under49c1,455$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6a…b3f7backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3acd…9b5abacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb2…fe44backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d8…4b61backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3bf…6fadbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e4…14ffbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e46…4ec9backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7e…02c4backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x714b…d61bbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde59…c15fbacked Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a04…7a27backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8d…f0d5backed Over51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2916…df2abacked Over48c1,430$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under54c1,250$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.2514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c1,229$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.232,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa754…87b3backed Under52c1,219$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c1,173$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.751,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0717…7dabbacked Under52c1,035$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c970.83$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ea…0d39backed Under52c792$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c751.29$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over49c676.58$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3211159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.094850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c388.27$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under54c385.32$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under54c371.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.062445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Under54c371.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.061250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under55c364.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.31,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c342.23$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.81,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under54c321.13$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7228537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b1…0d3cbacked Over48c309$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c299.79$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c297.55$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.281,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c213.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.272,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over45c205.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under54c202.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1522746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.