NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8157362091b58d7e07ceb70cb35e84d97b3ffc0a5319adfd6993bab6d9bed6ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 332,292$162,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,368.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 115,172$58,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,705.38 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Under | 0c | 52,540$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 33,386$17,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,054.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 28,625$14,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,279.05 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 26,905$13,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 17,370$9,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,032.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 15,111$7,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,706.56 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 48c | 13,245$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837.07 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 49c | 12,137$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190.24 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…5f72backed Over | 50c | 12,002$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 50c | 10,100$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.35 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 49c | 10,040$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.89 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf455…27c8backed Under | 52c | 6,270$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 52c | 5,089$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.34 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.92 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 48c | 4,784$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.85 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 48c | 4,769$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.52 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 4,263$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 3,910$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 52c | 3,849$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,679$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 51c | 3,329$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.96 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 3,243$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 52c | 3,108$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…ce52backed Over | 51c | 2,987$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 52c | 2,845$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.01 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 52c | 2,815$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed6…8f7abacked Under | 51c | 2,734$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…4009backed Under | 49c | 2,613$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 2,542$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.66 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…22a8backed Over | 51c | 2,360$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 50c | 2,197$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.54 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,084$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.1 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 1,404$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 1,344$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.46 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 1,302$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.36 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,300$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…2928backed Over | 49c | 1,227$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 50c | 1,046$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.17 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 1,034$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Over | 50c | 1,020$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.77 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 49c | 736.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 50c | 633$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Under | 53c | 567.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 49c | 452.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 429.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 52c | 385.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 346.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 321.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 50c | 312.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 49c | 306.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 215.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Over | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 50c | 200.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 52c | 190.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 190.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 162.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 49c | 142.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 136.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 49c | 132.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 48c | 130.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 115.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 51c | 111.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 49c | 100.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…b167backed Under | 52c | 99.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 50c | 93.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 51c | 87.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 86.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 52c | 85.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…3c9cbacked Over | 49c | 81.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 52c | 78.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 52c | 77.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under | 50c | 76.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 51c | 76.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 50c | 75.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. KingsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.