NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ee57215a38311986058e54bef61324abce104a493ab5e609d7bdec37b75200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,153,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,153,069 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Kings | 13c | 384,614$49,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,998.76 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Kings | 13c | 200,000$25,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,997.54 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Kings | 11c | 45,315$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.51 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Kings | 12c | 39,621$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 15c | 33,551$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Kings | 9c | 29,147$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…a603backed Kings | 12c | 24,201$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Kings | 9c | 23,123$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.1 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Kings | 12c | 22,893$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Kings | 13c | 20,878$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.12 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Kings | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Kings | 11c | 18,196$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.26 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Kings | 14c | 17,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Kings | 14c | 16,301$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 14c | 15,411$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Kings | 13c | 15,385$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 13c | 15,000$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kings | 11c | 14,947$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.7 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Kings | 14c | 14,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Kings | 13c | 12,100$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.48 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…c5f8backed Kings | 14c | 12,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Kings | 2c | 11,883$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings | 13c | 11,077$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Kings | 23c | 10,872$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings | 14c | 10,717$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 14c | 10,500$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.37 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Kings | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 12c | 8,820$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 11c | 8,645$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…65c0backed Kings | 14c | 7,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 1c | 7,476$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Kings | 11c | 7,463$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings | 9c | 7,100$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.9 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Kings | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 16c | 6,800$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 6,670$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kings | 14c | 6,430$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79f…f1f2backed Kings | 12c | 5,853$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Kings | 17c | 5,599$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.74 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Kings | 12c | 5,302$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.39 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Kings | 12c | 5,270$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 7c | 5,099$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Kings | 19c | 4,567$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.88 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 20c | 4,502$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.93 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…4efdbacked Kings | 12c | 4,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…caa7backed Kings | 14c | 4,452$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 14c | 4,385$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Kings | 13c | 4,319$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.04 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings | 19c | 4,241$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.26 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings | 19c | 4,189$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.43 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Kings | 17c | 4,118$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.06 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Kings | 24c | 4,053$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.73 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Hornets | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kings | 19c | 3,727$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.09 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Kings | 14c | 3,607$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.71 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Kings | 14c | 3,577$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 17c | 3,459$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Kings | 2c | 3,434$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…eeb6backed Kings | 17c | 3,369$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Kings | 1c | 3,132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Kings | 13c | 3,036$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings | 13c | 3,013$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.7 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…28e9backed Kings | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 14c | 3,000$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.74 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Kings | 15c | 2,817$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.67 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 1c | 2,635$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f684backed Kings | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hornets | 79c | 2,487$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.87 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 9c | 2,474$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Kings | 15c | 2,206$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ec75backed Kings | 11c | 2,118$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 1c | 2,104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Kings | 12c | 2,100$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Kings | 12c | 2,067$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Kings | 13c | 2,062$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Kings | 14c | 2,007$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…c2aabacked Kings | 13c | 2,005$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…2233backed Kings | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Kings | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Kings | 12c | 1,987$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…f726backed Kings | 5c | 1,982$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Kings | 8c | 1,956$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 14c | 1,910$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…0c9fbacked Kings | 14c | 1,898$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Kings | 7c | 1,864$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Kings | 10c | 1,828$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Kings | 11c | 1,809$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Kings | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Kings | 14c | 1,777$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Kings | 17c | 1,755$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Kings | 17c | 1,747$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Kings | 20c | 1,700$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kings | 13c | 1,700$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e1…4465backed Kings | 13c | 1,700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Kings | 13c | 1,694$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…a3b1backed Kings | 14c | 1,688$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Kings | 2c | 1,632$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 14c | 1,621$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Kings | 12c | 1,608$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Kings | 1c | 1,606$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.