TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over45c19,688$8,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,792.1843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c17,075$9,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,661.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over44c4,552$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.716651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c3,736$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf3…5816backed Over45c3,544$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c3,536$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.193,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c1…cbdebacked Under55c3,422$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac6…735ebacked Under55c3,102$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa523…e996backed Over45c2,933$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1425…3f8cbacked Under55c2,800$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc084…1d58backed Over45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4576…e33abacked Under55c2,120$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under57c2,097$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.1834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over44c2,057$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.781,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…baf9backed Over45c1,985$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8894…d2f8backed Under55c1,756$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under56c1,730$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.2323348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa391…7528backed Over45c1,566$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc778…5207backed Over45c1,501$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c1,321$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c1,257$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c1,212$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under41c1,112$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c914.87$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.661,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c801$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Over45c792$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.47052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Under80c775.88$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.774067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under72c744.6$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.261,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7777…717fbacked Under55c729$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under57c679$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.052,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c609.41$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over6c600$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9330224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under55c582$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over31c553.38$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c543.6$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over14c525.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over45c500.29$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2433150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over33c499.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.831,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Over42c417.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.183441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Over44c417$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0611229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c391.07$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef0…f14cbacked Over20c305$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c300.49$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66f0…923bbacked Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under54c251.79$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2128537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over63c229.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.141,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under56c217.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.391,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over61c215.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c209.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.661,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over25c204.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over75c201$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over59c193.81$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over45c163.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7815752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over45c145.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9636154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over16c144.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c136.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over44c133.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.679242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203619.4%7 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over44c99.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7714046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over62c97.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.361,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c97.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.41,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under46c91.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.331151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c89.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.911,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under24c87.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5412227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over77c86.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.767048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under55c85.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over48c81.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2918261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under55c75.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.19051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over42c71.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over52c68.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c65.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.372,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Over20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Over20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under54c53.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.771,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under54c53.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.811354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8846940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Over75c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over42c46.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under48c44.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.144938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under55c41.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5628536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under40c40.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.293,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.824645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c38.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Under50c38.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.