NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815a5e6edbf8717cd01c0c402486536c388045807728e2da3684ecb551230a8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,109 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 211,733$104,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,230.9 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 122,367$62,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,954.4 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 79,433$40,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000.17 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 75,000$38,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,750 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 47,535$22,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,910.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 51c | 39,300$20,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,257.68 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 50c | 37,926$19,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,885.22 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 32,326$16,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,839.73 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 29,825$14,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,812.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 26,004$12,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,873.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 24,000$11,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,003.48 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 20,861$10,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 19,000$9,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,160 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 53c | 18,250$9,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,577.32 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 17,282$8,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,468.01 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 16,025$7,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,877.74 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 49c | 15,187$7,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,438.04 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 49c | 12,207$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.12 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 11,034$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 49c | 9,610$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.49 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Under | 49c | 7,862$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…0918backed Under | 49c | 7,278$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 5,972$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.38 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.29 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.75 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 4,246$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.79 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 4,171$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.01 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.94 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 3,526$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.51 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 3,240$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.4 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 3,140$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under | 49c | 2,757$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 2,371$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 1,980$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.15 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,470$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Over | 62c | 1,433$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 1,275$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.25 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 49c | 1,129$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.07 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 18c | 1,124$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 999.85$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 50c | 980.39$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.2 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 785$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 778.56$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.19 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 739.04$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 49c | 713.58$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 711.38$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 669.81$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 52c | 644.9$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 625.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 594.49$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…10e8backed Under | 19c | 535.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 50c | 532$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 48c | 530.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 49c | 507$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 27c | 422.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 18c | 401.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 52c | 385.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.36 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 52c | 384.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 6c | 343.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 6c | 333.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 6c | 332$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 325.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 5c | 324$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 315.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.86 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 306.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 304.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 52c | 289.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 27c | 288.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 50c | 275$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 272.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 261.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 253$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 51c | 250.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Under | 49c | 242.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…a144backed Over | 50c | 235.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 52c | 233.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 232.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Over | 65c | 231.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 18c | 231.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 47c | 213.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 60c | 212$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 52c | 202.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 202.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 49c | 201.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 197.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 52c | 192.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Over | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. KingsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.