NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8030df07a3de52228c307fe97952abe3fecbbda7c8431e1fd3bc878034dbb610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Hornets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,409 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 48c | 181,489$86,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,243.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 52c | 140,000$72,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,799.29 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 53c | 125,246$65,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,927.71 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Hornets | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.99 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings | 48c | 55,970$26,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,104.4 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 47c | 55,869$26,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,517.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 48c | 40,258$19,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,858.16 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hornets | 53c | 40,000$21,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,197.76 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 52c | 29,241$15,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,269.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 53c | 26,213$13,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,892.89 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 47c | 24,446$11,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,958.01 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings | 50c | 20,300$10,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150.3 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kings | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Kings | 49c | 19,989$9,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,194.18 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Kings | 47c | 18,810$8,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,969.29 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Kings | 49c | 12,840$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.4 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 52c | 12,088$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.56 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Kings | 46c | 11,439$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.22 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 51c | 10,040$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.44 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 48c | 9,748$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hornets | 54c | 9,663$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.17 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Kings | 49c | 8,580$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.75 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.26 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 48c | 6,000$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hornets | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.77 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.57 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Hornets | 55c | 4,546$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.6 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Kings | 50c | 4,286$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Kings | 49c | 4,245$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.95 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Hornets | 51c | 3,260$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.6 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hornets | 53c | 3,087$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.11 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Hornets | 50c | 3,068$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Kings | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.37 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Hornets | 51c | 2,929$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.81 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets | 25c | 2,929$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Kings | 47c | 2,557$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.45 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets | 51c | 2,332$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 49c | 2,200$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed Hornets | 54c | 2,085$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hornets | 50c | 2,062$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.82 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Hornets | 53c | 1,974$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.48 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Kings | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.49 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Hornets | 56c | 1,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Hornets | 56c | 1,789$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Kings | 62c | 1,761$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.64 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 53c | 1,700$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Kings | 47c | 1,590$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.98 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,558$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.97 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 48c | 1,409$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hornets | 51c | 1,288$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.33 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 48c | 1,262$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,227$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Hornets | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Hornets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 64c | 1,030$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 53c | 1,004$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hornets | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Hornets | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kings | 48c | 899$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.38 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Kings | 49c | 880.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.31 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Kings | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Hornets | 54c | 830.59$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hornets | 53c | 774.05$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.18 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 47c | 755$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hornets | 41c | 743.91$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets | 52c | 699.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 48c | 696.44$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Hornets | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kings | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 56c | 523.71$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 45c | 511.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hornets | 53c | 501.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.12 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Hornets | 53c | 499.93$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Hornets | 51c | 490.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Hornets | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hornets | 48c | 448.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 40c | 412.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Kings | 75c | 372.14$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Hornets | 53c | 364.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 49c | 350.35$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Hornets | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Hornets | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Hornets | 51c | 348.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Hornets | 53c | 321.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Hornets | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Hornets | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kings | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Kings | 48c | 299.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Kings | 51c | 289.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Hornets | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Hornets | 53c | 279.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Hornets | 54c | 279.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hornets | 53c | 264.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 51c | 251.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Hornets | 48c | 245.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. KingsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.