TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Kingsof Hornets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x324c…93d9backed Hornets2c900$15 inLost-$15981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Hornets29c832.76$239 inLost-$238.9628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Kings34c782.39$263 inWon+$519.5410844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Hornets3c666$20 inLost-$19.9839018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hornets53c484.53$258 inLost-$257.8926353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets74c100$74 inLost-$742,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Kings20c100$20 inWon+$807222.2%16 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Kings20c100$20 inWon+$8074547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kings51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.0445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Hornets59c90$53 inLost-$53.110945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings59c88.65$52 inWon+$36.191,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Kings18c85$15 inWon+$7013744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bb…74fcbacked Kings43c65.61$28 inWon+$37.542065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets77c61.56$48 inLost-$47.672,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Kings48c59.16$28 inWon+$30.9830845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Hornets71c49.53$35 inLost-$35.2657444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hornets58c40$23 inLost-$23.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d0…e052backed Kings64c25.26$16 inWon+$8.971675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets77c17.68$14 inLost-$13.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.