NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2656b2687237498cb23ce6b96799b8a38edfc18ab038ce8010839544ab28c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,242 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 8,875$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.11 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,201$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 53c | 4,979$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.97 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 4,696$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 45c | 3,869$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.19 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 47c | 3,513$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,738$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 2,720$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 2,669$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.43 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 41c | 2,616$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,224$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.87 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,135$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 33c | 854.47$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 666$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 564.92$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 450.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 46c | 391$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Over | 14c | 318.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Over | 54c | 278.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Over | 54c | 278.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Over | 8c | 203.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 198.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Over | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Over | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 31c | 175.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 163.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Over | 10c | 160$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 117.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 22c | 111.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under | 47c | 104.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 61c | 101.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 54c | 93.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…294fbacked Over | 56c | 89.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Over | 57c | 84.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 46c | 76.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 68.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 33c | 65.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Under | 31c | 63.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 54c | 42.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed Over | 54c | 40.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Over | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 34.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…8335backed Under | 47c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 31c | 32.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 58c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 56c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 28.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 54c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 246 | 52.8%130 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. KingsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.