TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06c4…f726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3721.6%8 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.18
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.88
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.15
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.52
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.7
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.3%+$185.06
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.09
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+201.1%+$178.23
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$134.5
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$180.28
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$182.53
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150.32
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+179.8%+$224.92
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.9
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$113.2
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.91
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$143.72
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$294.07
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.01
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
First Blood in Game 3?backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+36%+$60.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$53.87
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$17.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$88.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.47
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$166.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$23.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$26.44
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$27.3
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.16
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+237.5%+$34.58
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+120.9%+$60.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+98.7%+$29.61
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$156.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alicante: Samuele Pieri vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$162.81
Pune: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$37.33
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.