TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked No55c133,348$73,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,341.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes45c75,000$33,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,2503745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes45c56,615$25,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,138.435846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No56c5,714$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.22733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c4,153$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.5484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes47c2,861$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.443345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes70c2,778$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No53c2,639$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.681631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c2,439$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c2,274$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.0219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c2,125$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.832,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed No55c1,905$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes44c1,542$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.5842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Yes62c1,539$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Yes63c1,230$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes46c1,000$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.081844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No29c994.29$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.946219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No54c887.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.56949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes46c846.73$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c827.57$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No54c755.55$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae3…1839backed Yes46c695.65$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No56c695$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.28420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09c6…90ebbacked Yes47c617.09$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes46c595.43$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3133847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes59c491.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Yes45c446.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.46850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No56c404.58$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.574250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d92…198fbacked Yes46c401.48$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes45c351.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1510360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa599…1a41backed Yes46c302.17$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-34.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.043070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c297.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8531849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes46c280.43$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.434443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff8…3b41backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+134.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c225.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3127939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed No54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed Yes45c220.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3d…7bfbbacked Yes46c219.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…00fcbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…8b87backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d2d…3ec7backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No55c216$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.812948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes46c215.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3080…ba8bbacked Yes45c210.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.82560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No22c202.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.42045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101090%9 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.45per pick45cpaid+102.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c188.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.033,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…bc16backed Yes57c183.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed No55c178.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No34c164.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4811644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No39c154.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.788658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes43c153.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.492441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed No18c143.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.115151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes44c130$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes47c122.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.071855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes44c113.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.621172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06c4…f726backed Yes45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c108.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.238240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c108$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.414252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No55c108$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.49037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcfa6…c301backed Yes46c106.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed No58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No56c102.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75a4…ffa3backed Yes45c102.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No10c101.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.195850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413054.6%71 W · 59 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977e…f89fbacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+199.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b18…04e7backed Yes46c86.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c45…ef75backed No57c86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No57c76.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7211246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No55c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No55c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No57c69.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8911562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No55c67.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.398046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes43c66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.989142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No54c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.424748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes52c64.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.233046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No56c64.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Yes46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+100.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c57.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No55c57.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.547544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes67c57.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8820047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.