Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7991771afc790ce6bcb6666f8f039c62368c19f47e7497e86c0c4f2636a84cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 4c | 801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 787.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 71c | 703.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.88 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 73c | 666.11$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed Yes | 3c | 647.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…6b27backed Yes | 26c | 612.19$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 612.19$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 29c | 537.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 2c | 525.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…0c61backed Yes | 12c | 520$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 23c | 487.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 375$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 74c | 365.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 72c | 313.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 74c | 244.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…4e17backed Yes | 27c | 197.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 186.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 71c | 173.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 159.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 26c | 148.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 30c | 136$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 29c | 115.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 31c | 113.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…bad3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 98.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 93.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 92.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 88.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…140dbacked No | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 25c | 68.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 69c | 66.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 25c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 29c | 51.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…595ebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 28c | 46.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…1210backed No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 43.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed Yes | 28c | 39.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 38.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 69c | 37.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 36.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…a098backed Yes | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…dd01backed No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.