Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdda4f5b075c2e466a3dce0e0ae73446c0c95552226566993157c9d482003b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 72c | 4,170$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 30c | 2,400$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 2,060$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.87 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,862$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.65 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 27c | 1,804$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,550$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.13 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 1,273$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.17 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 1,026$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 851$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 797.59$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 513.68$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606a…7eddbacked Yes | 2c | 458.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 27c | 372$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 365.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 297.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 75c | 133.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Yes | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 86.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 26c | 79.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 69c | 73.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Yes | 27c | 55.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 70c | 45.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 43.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 42.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…185cbacked Yes | 30c | 33.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 28.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 73c | 22.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 75cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.