TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e7f…bce6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7945.6%36 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$413.58
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.6
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.2
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+275.9%+$273.8
Spread: England (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$88.54
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.38
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.3
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+351.1%+$280.2
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+673.8%+$113.2
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.31
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.17
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$137.65
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+103%+$67.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$482.23
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$282.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+504.9%+$267.09
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+278.2%+$66.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$118.03
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+525%+$84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+119%+$40.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$231.89
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$139.67
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+244.8%+$283.99
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+222.6%+$75.9
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+426.3%+$60.75
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.45
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+82.9%+$34
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$118.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$142
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$76
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150.7%+$27.05
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+244.8%+$42.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick34cpaid+195.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$45.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.2%+$63.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.