TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c23,343$8,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,284.686,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Over47c19,836$9,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,306.16230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c17,025$8,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,539.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over37c13,094$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.894841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c7,112$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.912,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under28c5,371$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Under23c4,228$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.09728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over51c3,655$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.781540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c2,292$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.5474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c2,047$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.1374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c1,740$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.7717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c1,693$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.281,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over74c1,692$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.124768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Over70c1,435$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under33c1,140$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.0311753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c1,120$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.921,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under17c1,118$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.844822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over11c1,065$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9641343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c999.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.888648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over73c843.81$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.981457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under22c831.85$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over12c807.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.612646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under11c800$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7122821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c773.3$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.632,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Under16c761.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8110236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under12c757.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.8313721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under16c700.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.239152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under34c548.54$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.222138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed Under36c527.86$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.488100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c516.06$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4810454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Under17c497.46$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under36c343$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.943053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under18c330.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1520425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb1…233abacked Over63c310.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over79c300$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7413132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under41c298.28$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4819244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0754…5c8bbacked Over35c274.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Over65c270$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c261.54$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0628654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over76c237.95$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa614…4f85backed Over43c236.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under17c235$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.988757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over70c216.01$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.214858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over68c196.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3914463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under29c159.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4331849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under15c153$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13013846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under16c148.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.636175.4%46 W · 15 L+12.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c140.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5417161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under16c131.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0829250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over28c125.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.297943%34 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8a…9032backed Over80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under22c118.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.181850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Under17c112.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.833847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over65c112.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4311348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Under75c111.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.912646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over69c109.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4141260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over76c104.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.843863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a19…dc3dbacked Over74c102.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507850%39 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb15c…ed31backed Over79c99.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c98.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.444050%20 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c98.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over69c98.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.511566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Under35c96.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under21c85.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7324557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Over65c82.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.771338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b36…5f5ebacked Over66c81.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c78.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.773258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over26c77.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.198050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.475756.1%32 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over47c72.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.893865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over70c71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over48c70.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.916358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over65c70.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.824170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over79c69.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.932250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Under70c68.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53219.5%2 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-85.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over59c68.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.283330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c68.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9136545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Over79c67.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.225332.1%17 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over45c65.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0110939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Under61c64.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over72c63.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.222665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under31c62.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.031040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over57c59.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.18959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under53c59.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.77166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Over18c56.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.112330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over65c52.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.762060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.517244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.232560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Over66c48.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.333278.1%25 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over71c48.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3911839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd26c…0d92backed Over34c46.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.