Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe241ef37635e31062ec5839ad3cee7590f1d95875b51d99112650c3ab32e1336

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $250,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $255,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Over	54c	111,030$59,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,505.48	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	44,728$21,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,926	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	47c	38,158$17,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,165.25	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under	52c	20,748$10,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,899.35	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,599.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,399.98	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	63c	9,957$6,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,273.12	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over	57c	9,473$5,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.41	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	8,054$3,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,225.47	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	36c	7,174$2,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,584.41	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…972fbacked Under	53c	4,928$2,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,341	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	57c	3,784$2,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,641.4	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over	65c	3,012$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,958	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.98	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over	63c	2,434$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.11	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-4.2wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	57c	2,433$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.85	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	36c	2,345$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.73	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	51c	2,275$1,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.63	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	37c	2,000$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.71	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	42c	1,949$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.75	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over	64c	1,928$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.87	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over	48c	1,641$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over	60c	1,630$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.92	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	63c	1,500$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	51c	1,451$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.63	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	39c	1,433$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.47	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under	75c	1,279$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.82	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	66cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	37c	1,258$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.81	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	1,243$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.66	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	24c	1,193$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.32	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under	37c	1,192$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.18	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over	44c	1,152$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.69	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	42c	1,120$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.24	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	49c	1,002$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.77	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	59c	991.93$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.24	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	40c	964$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.6	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	63c	800$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over	53c	799.99$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	59c	782.08$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.52	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over	64c	764.38$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.2	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over	63c	716.27$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.25	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	57c	698.1$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.64	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	37c	657.88$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.47	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	648.88$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.97	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over	7c	598.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.51	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	36c	577.76$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.86	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	37c	568.72$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.14	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	35c	550$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	64c	535.06$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.44	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over	64c	535.06$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.44	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over	38c	528.77$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.79	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	37c	520.08$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.65	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under	37c	519.59$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.34	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under	53c	502.4$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.13	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over	56c	499.99$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	59c	495.97$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.62	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over	63c	494.54$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.95	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…3399backed Over	65c	447.03$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under	43c	417.69$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.04	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	37c	404.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.6	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	37c	404.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.6	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988c…90c1backed Under	49c	398.85$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.02	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	35cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over	25c	382.6$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	112	29.5%33 W · 79 L	-9.8wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	49c	361.57$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.78	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	37c	356.01$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.29	168	58.3%98 W · 70 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	65c	343.4$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.19	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	43c	340.91$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.39	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	50c	340.68$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.14	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under	38c	331.91$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.79	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Under	38c	331.2$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.35	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over	56c	323.05$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.1	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x11f5…5526backed Over	57c	316.27$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.54	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-5.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over	63c	310.41$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.56	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over	63c	310.41$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.56	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Over	48c	302.75$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.32	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+135.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	36c	288.44$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.34	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over	64c	287.41$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.94	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Over	25c	269.92$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.55	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	37c	260.03$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.82	288	59.7%172 W · 116 L	+19.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	63c	258.17$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.76	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Under	47c	245.33$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.1	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over	36c	241.58$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.87	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under	42c	241.3$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.95	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Under	40c	241$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over	64c	229.31$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.76	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over	32c	223.9$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over	44c	219.64$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.64	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under	48c	213.83$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.35	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Over	57c	205.09$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	52c	199.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over	61c	199.99$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	36c	199.97$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.98	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under	49c	197.84$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.9	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over	64c	195.68$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.24	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	37c	195.33$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.06	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under	47c	193.64$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.63	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over	56c	191.9$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.12	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over	58c	180$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.4	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event