TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No47c34,925$16,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,605.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes52c24,813$12,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,887.596230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c13,212$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.234,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes50c11,528$5,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7643764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes76c6,899$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.942030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes66c6,462$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,263.148350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No34c6,340$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.382356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c5,726$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.832,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes51c2,900$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.9816437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c2,802$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.8474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No38c2,476$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.431,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes66c2,226$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.411443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes49c1,981$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.361650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No48c1,915$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.1431849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.752378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes67c1,476$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.033767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Yes58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No36c1,386$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.261650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c1,384$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.291,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No34c1,284$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.3555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Yes66c1,093$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No34c1,093$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.126439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes64c999.91$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Yes2c967.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No34c763.39$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.8441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes66c743.61$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.784744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No34c678.75$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No34c672.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0813132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No34c666.87$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.079152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No38c635.17$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes65c601.22$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.632737%10 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Yes54c524.14$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.321353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No34c482.67$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed No40c482$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes65c457.87$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.62540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes66c445.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.883956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes66c445.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.886056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No32c436.33$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.241,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No48c423.85$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.44254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes66c391.84$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6113651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes65c391.66$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.563145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8915…1b98backed Yes65c374.35$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.812090%18 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c329.18$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.251,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes66c328.34$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.718345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes66c307.35$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.35825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes66c305.52$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.644447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes42c298.09$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.529541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11f5…5526backed Yes62c292.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes49c279.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.84238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed No35c278.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.152343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0454…859ebacked Yes65c273.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes73c245.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.547647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39e2…d3babacked Yes65c234.66$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No50c219.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6129250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe845…e1a8backed Yes68c208.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c204$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6448950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.996347.6%30 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes60c194.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1711636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked No35c192.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.933351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9794…6831backed Yes72c185.46$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1813834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes66c175.14$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.594254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes66c163.27$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.764438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes48c152.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes66c149.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.965433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0a…6165backed Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9625057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.968949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2f…9b2ebacked Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5680…7f79backed Yes66c147.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes65c146.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.455349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed No33c145.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.541973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes48c138.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2710634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Yes71c136.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.281040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes56c127.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1612241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.176144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No39c123.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9221254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No34c121.79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes48c114.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4941260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Yes49c111.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.472157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes62c107.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.452454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed No31c105.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5445224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No39c103.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0128859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes50c103.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.684134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes65c103.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.184748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes29c101.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6969…73c9backed Yes66c101.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2701…b64abacked Yes48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa08b…405abacked Yes65c100.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedf…e161backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes43c99.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9910232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes65c99.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.86966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No42c99.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.87450%37 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes56c98.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.295547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.