Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb155e605968541df34ae4a75124b765f1eb76f701ff38a5726309870af337eb8

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,746 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x50e4…1cedbacked Over	41c	9,865$4,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,044.78	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	13c	5,630$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.77	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,099.99	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	42c	4,410$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,852.21	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	3,907$2,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.8	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	59c	3,011$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,234.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	32c	2,100$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.87	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	26c	2,068$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.92	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	26c	1,624$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.7	1,044	33.3%348 W · 696 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	41c	1,510$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619	136	30.9%42 W · 94 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over	23c	1,457$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.11	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	59c	1,300$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.97	1,244	49.4%615 W · 629 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Over	41c	1,148$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.57	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	10c	1,034$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.92	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	59c	999.97$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.99	75	65.3%49 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	41c	983.89$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.4	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	77c	752.13$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.99	742	56.9%422 W · 320 L	+46.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	58c	600.46$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.52	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	59c	563.88$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.01	560	51.4%288 W · 272 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	42c	530.86$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.96	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	77c	493.1$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.41	320	49.1%157 W · 163 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under	59c	454.71$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.43	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Under	68c	433.94$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.74	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under	60c	409.92$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.97	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	58c	397.23$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.84	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	74c	391.21$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.12	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over	41c	357.61$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.62	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over	42c	340.16$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.87	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	59c	340$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.4	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under	58c	332.83$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.79	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	29c	330.14$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over	28c	299.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	78c	296.04$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.13	108	74.1%80 W · 28 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	32c	270.31$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.5	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	59c	253.6$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.98	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	59c	245.24$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.55	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	41c	219.93$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.17	504	50%252 W · 252 L	+19.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	59c	206.77$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.78	810	53.6%434 W · 376 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under	58c	194.96$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.88	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under	78c	189.77$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under	60c	162.67$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.07	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	59c	150$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	33c	150$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over	41c	147.58$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.51	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	21c	147.12$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	724	42.7%309 W · 415 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under	71c	138.14$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.06	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	69c	136.62$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.18	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under	72c	136.56$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over	39c	122.28$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	57c	116.28$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	131	32.1%42 W · 89 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Over	43c	113.2$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe461…2a69backed Over	43c	112.3$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.29	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over	39c	99.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	157	38.9%61 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under	72c	98.32$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.53	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204c…1e26backed Under	60c	97.6$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.04	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	58cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Under	60c	97.6$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.04	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over	29c	95.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04dd…d19bbacked Under	74c	91.96$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	60c	90.83$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.77	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under	59c	85$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.85	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked Under	60c	84$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under	61c	83.25$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.47	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under	60c	75.27$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.11	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec2…80c0backed Over	39c	74.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	65c	72.9$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.58	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under	68c	72.12$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over	20c	71.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over	41c	70.58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.94	188	41.5%78 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	42c	68.94$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	409	42.1%172 W · 237 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	42c	68.94$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	71c	62.97$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	288	59.7%172 W · 116 L	+19.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	71c	62.97$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over	29c	62.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	42c	57.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	24c	55.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	40c	52.51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	77c	51.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over	28c	51.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Under	60c	50.36$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.11	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over	42c	45.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	61c	41.63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.23	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b9…269dbacked Under	72c	40.97$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Under	73c	40.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	69c	36.8$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	59c	35.06$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.38	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed Under	60c	32.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.02	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	54cpaid	+89.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under	60c	32.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.01	223	56.5%126 W · 97 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5344…9dbdbacked Under	60c	32.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xed12…246abacked Under	75c	26.18$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.48	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74c4…c285backed Under	60c	21.56$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.62	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under	58c	21.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.01	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c0c…b4b6backed Under	73c	21.43$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.79	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc89d…87d3backed Under	60c	21.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under	59c	19.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbe4…f60ebacked Under	78c	15.18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.34	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+49%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event