TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11f5…5526

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$77.08
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.85
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$884.3
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$16.9
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$31
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+34.8%+$51.77
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+116.1%+$23.1
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.6%+$22.22
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$199.87
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+105.3%+$78.77
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.13
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+706.3%+$72.92
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+54.1%+$10.82
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$30.47
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.7
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.54
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.94
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+98%+$29.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.4%+$23.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$348.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$125.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$224.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.4%+$63.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.51
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.02
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.41
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$39.66
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$24.02
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$383
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+73%+$29.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+143.9%+$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$18.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,146.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,179.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.