Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32552863fe8014da2613037970661f0d49f415c86a88cb3d65af7a43395bc4ad

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,081,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,683,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,081,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes	48c	3,030,389$1,439,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439,583.54	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd650…14fbbacked No	53c	2,850,000$1,518,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331,500	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	52c	2,575,797$1,336,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336,076.45	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	52c	2,193,701$1,140,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140,654.02	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Yes	46c	1,801,630$830,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829,999.8	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	59c	1,765,277$1,047,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717,875	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	52c	1,742,759$903,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839,439.63	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	46c	1,674,992$768,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906,245.7	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	59c	1,226,357$722,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503,945.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…f7f2backed Yes	0c	1,000,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	48c	965,868$462,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503,204.63	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	49c	804,722$394,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394,867.62	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	50c	797,969$398,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398,252.68	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	53c	796,933$421,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421,374.46	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked No	48c	728,215$351,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377,172.02	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	48c	718,563$345,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373,084.38	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	62c	679,283$419,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419,283.32	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	53c	558,068$297,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297,352.83	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	48c	506,985$245,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245,838.14	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes	47c	501,490$236,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236,865.74	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No	48c	468,466$224,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243,602.39	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	46c	426,934$196,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230,008.82	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No	53c	382,738$202,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179,886.95	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	64c	357,096$228,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128,866.88	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed No	48c	311,254$149,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161,409.45	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No	47c	301,017$141,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159,539.23	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	45c	262,871$117,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117,861.42	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	51c	249,463$127,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,362.73	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	49c	245,499$119,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125,657.99	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes	50c	224,678$112,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112,928.28	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	54c	216,200$117,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99,053.6	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No	52c	207,954$108,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99,787.4	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed No	48c	207,690$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,690.37	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked No	50c	200,000$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,000	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.5wins	+0.39per pick	50cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed No	52c	198,243$103,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,156.4	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e17…d3d8backed Yes	50c	198,061$99,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,030.5	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No	54c	180,000$97,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,799.94	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f25…1e13backed Yes	55c	179,394$98,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,666.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	53c	173,492$92,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,061.07	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes	52c	172,193$90,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed No	48c	156,272$75,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,774.56	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	48c	152,068$73,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,890.15	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	34c	142,367$49,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,115.79	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No	47c	138,211$64,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,251.59	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f2…1db8backed Yes	50c	135,351$67,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,675.32	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed No	49c	133,737$65,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,858.28	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6266…242abacked Yes	38c	132,679$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	30c	128,962$38,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,800	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No	45c	120,539$54,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,470.07	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Yes	54c	120,370$65,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x910e…8fc3backed Yes	54c	115,093$62,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,160.41	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No	48c	109,547$52,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,155.36	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No	49c	108,045$52,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,096.88	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No	46c	106,855$49,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,701.52	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8133…050bbacked Yes	48c	106,172$50,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,962.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f63…e539backed Yes	50c	104,284$52,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,337.43	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	51c	100,367$51,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed No	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,000	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No	53c	100,000$53,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,000	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed No	46c	100,000$46,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,000	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No	53c	100,000$53,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,999.94	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked No	47c	99,999$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,999.6	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed No	46c	99,345$45,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,361.3	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	42c	93,687$39,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,503.28	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No	46c	91,794$42,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,568.84	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…4d5abacked No	54c	90,000$48,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,400	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No	50c	85,488$42,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,848.56	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	53c	84,232$45,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,000.09	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No	40c	83,364$33,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,855.42	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	14c	82,293$11,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,235.08	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes	46c	80,603$37,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,445.7	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	49c	80,000$39,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,799.9	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	50c	77,914$39,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,605.1	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes	48c	77,763$37,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,326.42	69	13%9 W · 60 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	49c	76,470$37,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,656.13	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No	50c	75,000$37,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,500	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No	48c	74,999$35,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,299.42	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	29c	73,332$21,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,055.19	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed Yes	49c	73,190$35,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,862.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No	67c	72,858$48,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,883.98	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	49c	72,264$35,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,656.53	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	50c	70,605$35,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,478.29	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	54c	70,000$37,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,799.97	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes	52c	69,700$36,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,543.15	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	52c	68,551$35,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,905.4	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes	52c	68,124$35,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,588.11	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	47c	67,648$31,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,757.23	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	35c	65,539$22,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,805.8	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db5…cc23backed No	40c	63,148$25,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,779.85	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes	47c	62,000$29,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,140	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	49c	61,616$30,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,303.75	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked No	48c	60,938$29,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,687.5	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No	49c	60,831$29,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,023.66	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked No	48c	59,921$28,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,158.92	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes	52c	59,780$31,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,085.6	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	49c	59,630$29,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,436.94	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No	52c	57,398$30,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,377.15	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No	48c	57,178$27,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,728.68	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Yes	52c	55,000$28,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,800	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	39c	55,000$21,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,299.99	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?this page
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?No won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event