TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,603,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,424,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,603,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,029 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No73c822,263$602,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,743.5574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes49c387,746$191,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,689.6779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes25c346,239$86,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259,679.4915552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No72c286,132$206,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,007.329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c249,725$57,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,221.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes27c197,635$53,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,461.176045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No68c148,201$100,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,736.1549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c137,042$42,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,367.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes26c113,147$29,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,646.8464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes27c111,110$29,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,665.8342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No64c109,799$70,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,481.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes7c105,840$7,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,351.087045.7%32 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes29c100,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,999.967839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No74c99,999$73,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,999.384040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes28c98,581$27,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,921.0865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes14c93,466$13,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,082.3217840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes21c71,795$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,794.8731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No78c66,146$51,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,789.5913037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c62,328$28,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,900.641,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes50c60,663$30,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,036.862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes52c58,709$30,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,245.0777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No73c58,226$42,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,522.3421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No77c55,973$42,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,821.1324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No57c47,879$27,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,469.636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes19c44,765$8,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,187.49525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes22c42,718$9,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,432.8766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed No75c41,521$31,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,110.485967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes25c39,895$9,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,921.2236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No73c38,308$28,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,096.542,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ebb…9305backed Yes43c38,040$16,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,649.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+56.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed Yes30c36,667$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,666.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Yes25c35,848$8,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,886.183154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes8c35,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,20024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes30c33,129$9,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,238.841,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes9c33,112$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,003.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes28c31,513$8,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,555.8915337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes29c30,253$8,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,479.288932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No71c29,344$20,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,932.711,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…2f22backed Yes29c29,181$8,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,802.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed No50c25,869$13,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,035.682661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No71c25,200$17,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,891.895244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes25c24,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0009649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Yes28c24,000$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,3603458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes36c23,093$8,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,740.426847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No72c23,029$16,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,484.131945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No72c22,804$16,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,358.2629333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Yes26c22,000$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,1808858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1d1…64a7backed Yes37c21,857$8,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,799.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No5c21,760$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.3421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No75c21,657$16,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,282.5421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c20,591$14,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,830.731,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No73c20,000$14,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,6007740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes52c19,404$10,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,240.0810562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed No74c19,001$13,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,980.895147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes52c18,798$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,954.0953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes52c18,551$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,931.6520839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes1c18,281$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,097.899742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Yes25c18,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,500757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes28c17,423$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,544.7412536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Yes27c15,477$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,327.2112958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Yes29c15,000$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,674.93545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes26c14,936$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,057.2238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes29c13,830$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,819.26741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes3c12,245$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,867.1498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes3c12,207$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,837.151,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ba…27bdbacked Yes25c12,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes25c12,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00044539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No64c11,896$7,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,575.5575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes50c11,595$5,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,755.8710443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes18c11,465$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,347.679017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2299…d23abacked Yes36c11,254$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,253.562532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes27c10,899$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,956.274663%29 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed No71c10,756$7,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,636.647753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes27c10,424$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,609.5270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes26c10,237$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,572.6133549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked No63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.997653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9426447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa811…8717backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.881947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No63c9,996$6,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,277.5313533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c9,521$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,384.5976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c9,409$6,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,812.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes28c8,929$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,428.5711346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Yes26c8,234$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,093.410355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes18c8,075$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes26c8,055$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,962.254131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes25c8,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Yes25c8,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0007147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c7,960$6,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,330.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes29c7,931$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,631.0317944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes3c7,881$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650.9422933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes33c7,727$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.4212847.7%61 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes26c7,692$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,692.3118740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes7c7,582$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,069.751468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No68c7,576$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,118.6342043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce9…9452backed No73c7,546$5,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,508.582123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-63.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes29c7,506$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,305.5312634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes26c7,485$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,569.769823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes27c7,407$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.4111256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes25c7,356$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,516.7917550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.