Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc34b1a1507fb269c41fb4750880a7774d396f00b76e95c5746c9fe454e6085c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,410,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,360,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,410,765 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	30c	334,635$99,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,991.23	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	68c	257,607$175,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,850.64	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	76c	212,194$160,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,323.42	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	77c	176,654$135,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,719.93	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	5c	145,086$7,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,417.37	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	46c	102,987$47,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,345.78	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No	77c	99,998$76,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,999.57	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No	50c	84,892$42,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,399.16	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	26c	77,777$20,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,222.02	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes	24c	76,000$18,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,239.99	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No	36c	74,894$26,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,281.54	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	34c	60,909$20,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,190.58	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	49c	58,583$28,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,769.57	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	22c	49,372$10,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,869.77	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	36c	42,771$15,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,494.18	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	10c	41,742$4,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,474.4	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	18c	41,115$7,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,510.52	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	78c	38,761$30,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,563.86	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	22c	37,991$8,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,412.36	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	25c	35,000$8,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,700	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	32c	30,105$9,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,516.75	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes	20c	29,008$5,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,679.97	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes	27c	25,858$6,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,981.54	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes	53c	25,546$13,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,584.58	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes	4c	24,318$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.14	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	24c	20,500$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes	35c	19,277$6,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,696.89	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	28c	19,063$5,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,284.65	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	67c	18,213$12,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,009.78	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Yes	47c	15,884$7,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,488.56	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	25cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	77c	15,308$11,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,596.58	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	24c	15,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	47c	14,803$6,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,807.31	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	5c	14,670$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,938.7	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No	71c	14,184$10,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,177.08	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb385…180ebacked Yes	23c	13,478$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	27cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fdd…2f82backed Yes	58c	12,931$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	60c	12,771$7,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,644.73	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	29c	12,659$3,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,688.16	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	39c	12,427$4,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,613.7	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…0ad6backed Yes	45c	10,895$4,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,902.62	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa811…8717backed Yes	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	32cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	17c	9,260$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,671.12	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No	1c	9,101$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,999.29	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	26c	9,054$2,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,354.04	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0508…25bebacked Yes	22c	8,358$1,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,867.84	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+4.9wins	+0.38per pick	39cpaid	+795.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	24c	8,197$1,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,967.23	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes	23c	8,055$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,852.65	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes	22c	7,698$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.45	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes	23c	7,069$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.42	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No	76c	7,056$5,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.48	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes	24c	7,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes	72c	6,944$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	100	59%59 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3637…43c8backed Yes	22c	6,830$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525.65	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	47cpaid	+89%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes	23c	6,571$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.68	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes	34c	6,441$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes	31c	6,042$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.72	147	25.9%38 W · 109 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes	35c	6,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…96c8backed Yes	78c	5,797$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	88	37.5%33 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	70c	5,726$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes	24c	5,480$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.2	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed Yes	49c	5,354$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.2	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	60c	5,341$3,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,194.41	211	41.7%88 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1e…6067backed Yes	24c	5,233$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.03	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No	1c	5,000$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,950	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3fb7…6b52backed Yes	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No	1c	5,000$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,950	279	31.9%89 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15f…4497backed Yes	57c	4,910$2,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,802	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…8547backed Yes	58c	4,685$2,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,717.43	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	57c	4,516$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592.05	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked No	1c	4,500$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,455	229	32.8%75 W · 154 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	23c	4,480$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.43	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	48c	4,375$2,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,111.79	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	45c	4,369$1,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.05	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	28c	4,252$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.77	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	77c	4,200$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.06	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Yes	24c	4,160$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.4	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	24c	3,967$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,018.35	301	17.9%54 W · 247 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	75c	3,850$2,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.33	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…904cbacked Yes	26c	3,844$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.37	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes	43c	3,758$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	199	38.2%76 W · 123 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes	67c	3,617$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,434.3	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	70c	3,574$2,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.44	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…a146backed Yes	23c	3,261$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes	50c	3,216$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,608.2	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4621…f0a1backed Yes	31c	3,046$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.7	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	59c	3,010$1,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780.81	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49a…6f4cbacked Yes	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes	22c	3,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No	77c	3,000$2,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes	24c	3,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes	33c	2,986$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35bf…3a4dbacked Yes	68c	2,965$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.07	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No	76c	2,944$2,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.56	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcd62…6c34backed Yes	47c	2,942$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.96	33	78.8%26 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	65cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?this page
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes won
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event