Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011de01e618d6f40008b76faecb7808d61fd75529aeafa06c66450024864d3ee

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,399,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,461,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,399,335 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,000 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No	55c	357,290$194,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162,384.37	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	58c	204,403$118,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,492.44	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed No	51c	197,188$100,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,404.86	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	50c	153,000$76,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,500	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	50c	146,671$73,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,797.47	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No	50c	138,829$69,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,414.34	192	53.1%102 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No	60c	125,602$75,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,311.1	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	50c	103,749$52,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,017.47	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes	51c	97,612$49,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,928	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	51c	97,486$49,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,757.61	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed Yes	39c	80,010$30,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,804.09	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	44c	75,000$33,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,000	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	50c	73,012$36,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,345.54	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No	50c	49,991$24,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,995.41	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes	44c	49,058$21,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,585.32	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	51c	48,155$24,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,595.9	159	49.1%78 W · 81 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes	49c	46,730$22,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,983.52	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	65c	43,673$28,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,343.79	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Yes	50c	36,050$18,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,184.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	56c	35,000$19,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,400	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…5f83backed Yes	46c	30,646$14,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,060.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	0c	30,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	44c	27,687$12,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,076.36	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes	43c	26,832$11,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,537.55	41	61%25 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes	51c	26,555$13,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,542.92	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes	52c	25,000$12,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,950	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes	48c	20,890$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No	55c	20,395$11,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,238.15	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No	52c	20,383$10,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,771.33	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Yes	43c	18,383$7,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,989.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	65c	18,147$11,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,416.54	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	50c	17,913$8,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,956.5	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No	50c	16,950$8,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,475	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes	34c	16,279$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	172	34.3%59 W · 113 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No	51c	15,084$7,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,391.31	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	56c	15,000$8,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,599.95	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed No	54c	14,000$7,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,440	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+6.0wins	+0.29per pick	52cpaid	+97.8%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes	44c	13,506$5,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,956.66	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes	45c	13,010$5,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,822.69	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	48c	12,590$6,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,546.89	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d89…a2febacked Yes	50c	12,419$6,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,209.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes	45c	12,222$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc71…2ac1backed Yes	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Yes	50c	11,909$5,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,954.5	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	50c	11,649$5,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,771.16	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes	50c	11,633$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes	49c	11,530$5,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,701.69	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes	27c	11,003$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No	51c	11,000$5,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,390	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	52c	10,984$5,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,237.23	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	50c	10,318$5,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,159.1	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No	57c	10,188$5,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,380.79	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed No	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e39…07ddbacked Yes	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,899.94	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Yes	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…62bdbacked Yes	48c	9,400$4,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,479	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No	55c	9,137$5,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,107.95	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes	48c	8,536$4,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,065.12	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes	47c	8,500$3,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,980	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-6.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No	50c	8,500$4,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,250	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes	27c	8,343$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.82	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No	49c	8,149$4,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,133.57	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No	58c	8,093$4,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,368.6	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	46c	8,000$3,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,648.02	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes	42c	7,966$3,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,377.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	37c	7,245$2,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,668.98	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No	51c	6,863$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,362.75	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Yes	4c	6,737$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	39c	6,500$2,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Yes	45c	6,347$2,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,868.35	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No	51c	6,118$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,997.65	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+4.1wins	+0.26per pick	43cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	52c	6,077$3,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,927.94	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.99	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes	52c	5,934$3,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,075	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	50c	5,900$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Yes	43c	5,798$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	41c	5,724$2,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,323.6	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No	51c	5,641$2,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.66	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes	48c	5,640$2,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,705.2	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	43c	5,399$2,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,337.74	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes	47c	5,353$2,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,537.03	202	46.5%94 W · 108 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	50c	5,315$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,676.4	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes	50c	5,280$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes	50c	5,265$2,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,632.7	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes	49c	5,185$2,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,541.09	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.97	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2263…4e26backed Yes	50c	4,868$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.92	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes	37c	4,756$1,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,770.54	250	52%130 W · 120 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7443…000dbacked Yes	44c	4,726$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4770…1ddebacked Yes	41c	4,484$1,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,838.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes	32c	4,447$1,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.84	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	51c	4,320$2,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,116.78	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+62%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes	50c	4,239$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,119.6	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes	40c	4,200$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event