Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34fc0de0cd5a42ca37fd36a331934ee7d7e4c70a5affbb512a89c66b00085533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $784,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 59,239$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 74c | 56,786$42,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,764.43 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 25c | 46,900$11,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,725 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 74c | 26,950$19,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 25c | 25,000$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 22,575$16,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,644.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 74c | 19,258$14,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.08 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 74c | 18,840$13,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 17,604$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.73 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 75c | 16,524$12,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 25c | 13,478$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.41 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 27c | 10,533$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 9,975$7,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.88 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 75c | 9,255$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.8 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 74c | 9,055$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.41 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 24c | 7,316$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 75c | 6,739$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.8 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 74c | 6,483$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…f46ebacked No | 76c | 6,371$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 6,258$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.58 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 5,540$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.92 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 5,260$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.15 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 4,179$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 25c | 4,069$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.84 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 74c | 3,950$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 3,768$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.51 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 74c | 3,335$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.97 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…f587backed Yes | 24c | 3,307$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 74c | 3,109$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…d5f9backed Yes | 24c | 3,060$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 2,985$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.75 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Yes | 12c | 2,182$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 27c | 2,100$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 1,992$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…eeb4backed Yes | 29c | 1,842$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…db12backed Yes | 14c | 1,774$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 6c | 1,702$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 75c | 1,652$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 7c | 1,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 76c | 1,405$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.23 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 25c | 1,276$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.77 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 24c | 1,240$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 76c | 1,228$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 67c | 1,222$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.15 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,082$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 24c | 1,047$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 25c | 1,001$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 969.24$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes | 5c | 948.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Yes | 28c | 828.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 807.59$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…5598backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…631dbacked Yes | 24c | 787.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 27c | 777.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 13c | 773.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 22c | 745.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 708.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 691.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 13c | 638.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 73c | 600$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 590.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 67c | 551.48$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 24c | 520.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 24c | 501.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d752backed Yes | 13c | 498$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…8915backed No | 75c | 457.33$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1749…797fbacked No | 75c | 424$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…f239backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 26c | 407.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 26c | 407.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.