TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x31f6…442a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,227.27
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$425.93
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+425.7%+$1,277.16
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$634.02
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$882.35
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$8,526.32
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$4,831.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.5%+$2,224.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+155.4%+$777.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+180%+$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+139.4%+$696.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Konyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+105.5%+$956.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,761.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.