NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d72cd3594165835c6956024bd660a54cbd2b2b6caa3a7bb829772cae0dd2569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Pacers | 49c | 40,609$19,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,710.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 48c | 34,369$16,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,843.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 52c | 21,864$11,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,369.05 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Bulls | 51c | 11,422$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Bulls | 51c | 10,349$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.2 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Bulls | 51c | 7,397$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.43 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cd…2cfdbacked Bulls | 53c | 7,298$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…9256backed Bulls | 53c | 7,096$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…9fdbbacked Bulls | 53c | 6,808$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…936bbacked Bulls | 53c | 6,520$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…6df8backed Pacers | 48c | 6,253$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Bulls | 52c | 6,211$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.46 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab7…ebc8backed Pacers | 47c | 6,127$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…3e71backed Pacers | 47c | 6,013$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…472ebacked Bulls | 53c | 5,429$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1b40backed Pacers | 47c | 5,306$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…1a68backed Pacers | 48c | 5,049$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7199…0560backed Bulls | 52c | 4,848$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…eee9backed Pacers | 48c | 4,779$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…04cbbacked Pacers | 48c | 4,442$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9e67backed Bulls | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…8faebacked Pacers | 47c | 4,013$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…edb1backed Bulls | 52c | 4,002$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…9d3dbacked Bulls | 53c | 3,993$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1af…d81abacked Bulls | 52c | 3,993$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Bulls | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Bulls | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…6de9backed Bulls | 52c | 3,838$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 51c | 3,493$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…f2e9backed Bulls | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…b73bbacked Bulls | 52c | 3,121$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…56d7backed Bulls | 53c | 3,102$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…79c1backed Bulls | 53c | 3,061$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…713fbacked Bulls | 53c | 3,025$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…4f54backed Pacers | 47c | 2,973$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Bulls | 51c | 2,960$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.59 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…b11fbacked Bulls | 53c | 2,952$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Bulls | 52c | 2,890$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…f3abbacked Bulls | 53c | 2,875$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…3e0fbacked Pacers | 47c | 2,774$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…9a58backed Pacers | 47c | 2,534$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…b83abacked Pacers | 47c | 2,534$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…10e3backed Pacers | 47c | 2,473$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…2e48backed Pacers | 47c | 2,412$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…0bb3backed Pacers | 47c | 2,352$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…f070backed Bulls | 53c | 2,348$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…546cbacked Pacers | 47c | 2,322$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…1310backed Pacers | 47c | 2,321$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…a862backed Pacers | 47c | 2,245$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…2b8fbacked Pacers | 47c | 2,241$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…f1c2backed Pacers | 47c | 2,241$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…65e1backed Pacers | 47c | 2,212$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…f949backed Pacers | 47c | 2,155$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…9b41backed Pacers | 47c | 2,153$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…e920backed Bulls | 53c | 1,958$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Bulls | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…5e2dbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,892$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…1f4ebacked Pacers | 47c | 1,838$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…3895backed Pacers | 48c | 1,473$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 48c | 1,461$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers | 48c | 1,452$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…5c7ebacked Bulls | 53c | 1,449$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…12bdbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,395$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Bulls | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…6579backed Bulls | 53c | 1,325$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 51c | 1,297$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…0615backed Pacers | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Bulls | 52c | 1,195$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.4 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…0a0bbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 48c | 1,084$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.78 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…ec51backed Pacers | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Pacers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 43c | 941.09$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…30d5backed Bulls | 52c | 777$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Pacers | 49c | 734.78$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.62 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bulls | 51c | 616$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…95a3backed Bulls | 52c | 604$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Bulls | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bulls | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Pacers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Bulls | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Bulls | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pacers | 49c | 364.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bulls | 52c | 360.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 53c | 325$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Bulls | 53c | 298.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 48c | 247.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Bulls | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pacers | 48c | 240.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pacers | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Bulls | 52c | 207$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 49c | 202.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…3172backed Bulls | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bulls | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 53c | 196.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…6426backed Bulls | 52c | 191.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Pacers | 49c | 188.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. PacersPacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Coby White: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.