NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff89a6af461916f8df95b14ef45d8a8edbc4d57e46a4c9f88d08e7dbd925ad0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b6f…b218backed Over | 47c | 6,200$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…c96cbacked Under | 53c | 6,100$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ec…111abacked Over | 47c | 5,950$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…100dbacked Under | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…c4cfbacked Over | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…ce3cbacked Under | 53c | 5,100$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…9604backed Over | 46c | 4,843$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…dd15backed Under | 54c | 4,021$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecb…6d41backed Over | 45c | 3,798$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…0e8cbacked Over | 46c | 2,992$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…c748backed Under | 53c | 2,850$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,730$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…528cbacked Under | 55c | 2,652$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…7182backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd18…c231backed Under | 54c | 1,963$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…aef3backed Under | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 53c | 1,017$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…fef6backed Under | 55c | 622$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dff…1534backed Under | 55c | 524$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 517.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 251.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 45c | 136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…9fcdbacked Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…4ebcbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 82.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 79.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 54c | 69.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 65.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Under | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…9667backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 54.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Under | 55c | 51.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 45.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Over | 46c | 36.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 48c | 36.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…32ddbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 31.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Under | 54c | 25.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…98b3backed Under | 55c | 25.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Under | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…ac2fbacked Under | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 56c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. PacersPacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Coby White: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.