TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d10…e270backed Over50c62,722$31,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,303.695139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c26,635$13,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,227.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under53c16,050$8,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c7,736$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,790.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c7,470$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under51c6,933$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.3165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa045…f2c5backed Over49c6,800$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0227…b6cbbacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3da…d38bbacked Over49c5,959$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f3…eec9backed Over49c5,900$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,89130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…e45ebacked Under51c5,895$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de0…5883backed Under52c5,865$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…f3acbacked Under51c5,722$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b9…4e54backed Over49c5,344$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a5…c748backed Under51c5,272$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa555…7182backed Under51c5,240$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7322…43fcbacked Under51c5,200$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc53e…8503backed Over49c5,167$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d0…0145backed Under51c5,165$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9312…5b10backed Under51c5,151$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…0b06backed Over48c5,023$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x921c…0c1ebacked Over48c4,832$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1922…72eebacked Over49c4,810$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9136…cbebbacked Under52c4,532$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ae…3f02backed Over48c4,370$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…97fdbacked Under51c4,141$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…3639backed Over49c4,133$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a2…3895backed Under51c3,992$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29e5…07f0backed Under52c3,517$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab74…12bdbacked Under51c3,236$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c3,068$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.34,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e3…4521backed Under54c2,309$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c2,180$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.782,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b6f…b218backed Over49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc2…d1cebacked Under51c1,999$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ef…c96cbacked Over49c1,998$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff44…321bbacked Under51c1,936$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46a7…baf2backed Under51c1,856$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b4…0c5cbacked Under51c1,834$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c1…a151backed Under51c1,744$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc312…1120backed Over48c1,685$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9a…ce3cbacked Over49c1,665$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ec…111abacked Over49c1,662$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df4…b4cdbacked Under51c1,649$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over7c1,631$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.412,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d7…f37dbacked Over49c1,589$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda36…d1fabacked Under51c1,574$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb7…c4cfbacked Over49c1,568$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…e47dbacked Under51c1,567$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c9…100dbacked Over49c1,566$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,547$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3950754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c7f…c250backed Under52c1,523$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…916dbacked Under51c1,513$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x530d…0a0bbacked Over49c1,468$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…0615backed Over49c1,325$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f2…5e2dbacked Over49c1,282$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dfe…ec51backed Over49c1,159$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1af…d81abacked Over49c1,071$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under53c1,016$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3822643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x716b…b764backed Over49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c900$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad34…9e67backed Over49c833$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34347542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7759…351dbacked Under51c669$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c660.86$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.382,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c637.42$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under50c578.53$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over14c525.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.533,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…3a9cbacked Over49c511$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under53c501.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6429352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c498.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0515543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c489.12$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c423.32$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.111,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e1…4cc7backed Over49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.925935.6%21 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe71e…ff7bbacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c374$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.261,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c355.14$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under51c330$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.728751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Under49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1266046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Over49c276.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c202.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.291,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9665649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Under51c197.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.214339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c165$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over10c156.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c150.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over20c144.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over7c143$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.724755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c124.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.