NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d3b2a54e39bed95f2c6e1df1ab741ac680531458edf624511a97c78c0494c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,392,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,450,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,392,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,817 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Bulls | 55c | 449,985$248,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,991.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers | 45c | 294,306$132,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,873.31 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pacers | 45c | 113,221$50,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,759.62 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pacers | 45c | 109,675$49,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,571.38 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 33c | 107,489$35,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,564.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 55c | 84,284$46,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,752.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Bulls | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500.03 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 55c | 56,670$31,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,209.23 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Pacers | 40c | 55,365$21,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,419.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bulls | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Pacers | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,249.89 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls | 55c | 30,056$16,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,380.54 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 46c | 26,730$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,540.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pacers | 46c | 26,128$12,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,109.03 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 46c | 25,195$11,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,605.21 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 56c | 24,602$13,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,699.28 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Pacers | 45c | 22,538$10,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,395.84 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers | 41c | 22,535$9,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,283.57 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 74c | 20,572$15,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,180.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.92 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Pacers | 46c | 19,985$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,791.89 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pacers | 46c | 19,565$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,565.22 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bulls | 67c | 16,611$11,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,177.49 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 19c | 16,519$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.83 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Bulls | 55c | 15,555$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.7 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Bulls | 0c | 15,052$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 45c | 14,947$6,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,180.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 45c | 13,650$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,557.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Pacers | 46c | 13,622$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,355.93 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bulls | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Pacers | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,149.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bulls | 55c | 12,161$6,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,688.28 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 45c | 11,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.97 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Bulls | 55c | 10,010$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.49 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 55c | 10,000$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,518.25 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 69c | 9,602$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bulls | 54c | 9,443$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.12 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 44c | 9,101$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 70c | 8,855$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Pacers | 46c | 8,746$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.65 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Pacers | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.65 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Pacers | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.65 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls | 55c | 7,613$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.23 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 69c | 7,514$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.93 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Pacers | 46c | 7,416$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.59 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 60c | 7,116$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…865ebacked Bulls | 32c | 7,000$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 44c | 6,593$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 44c | 6,460$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Bulls | 56c | 6,460$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Bulls | 68c | 6,249$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 65c | 6,213$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.07 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Pacers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Pacers | 71c | 5,634$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bulls | 71c | 5,626$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.36 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Bulls | 55c | 5,449$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Bulls | 55c | 5,387$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.95 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…1af8backed Bulls | 54c | 5,342$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…416ebacked Bulls | 55c | 5,240$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers | 43c | 5,238$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.82 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…1051backed Pacers | 45c | 5,089$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Pacers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bulls | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…f218backed Bulls | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Bulls | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pacers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.95 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bulls | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.93 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pacers | 46c | 4,950$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…f690backed Pacers | 45c | 4,907$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bulls | 54c | 4,700$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.99 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…80f4backed Bulls | 54c | 4,654$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Pacers | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Bulls | 69c | 4,318$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Bulls | 59c | 4,265$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.29 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 61c | 4,197$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Bulls | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Bulls | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8925…0d79backed Bulls | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Pacers | 24c | 3,773$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.21 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Bulls | 31c | 3,700$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 63c | 3,334$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Pacers | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…cf88backed Pacers | 46c | 3,300$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Bulls | 70c | 3,214$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…9a96backed Bulls | 65c | 3,053$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Bulls | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Pacers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pacers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pacersthis page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Coby White: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.